USD/INR Exchange rate


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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.0900 despite sentiment deteriorates

An unattractive dollar helped EUR/USD reach 1.0926, its highest in a week. The positive market’s mood that lead the way ever since the week started begun to ease. Wall Street trimmed early gains, ends the day mixed.

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AUD/USD struggles near 0.6200

 

The AUD/USD pair is losing some ground after flirting with the 0.6200 level, weighed by US indexes losing ground ahead of the close. RBA’s optimistic stance underpinned the Aussie.

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Coronavirus figures: Why traders should ignore Mondays and Tuesdays, focus on other stats

 Figures on Mondays tend to show a drop in cases and deaths in various places in the world. such as Spain, and New York's figures all provide hope, contributing to a massive stock market rally on Monday, April 6.

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Gold: Investors could be getting complacent and gold is great barometer

he USD 1640.00 level is a decent support level to watch as it has been used on six occasions and seem reliable. Even if it does break it will tell you a lot about the state of the market and the perception of the safe-haven asset.

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WTI taking a breather below $30.00 a barrel

WTI consolidates last week’s advance as WTI is weighing the Trump tweet suggesting that a Saudi-Russian deal has been concluded. 

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Signatures


USD/INR

The USD/INR pair tells the trader how many Indian Rupees (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one U.S. dollar (the base currency). The Rupee is symbolized by ₹ and is the 20th most traded currency worldwide.


HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR USD/INR

  • All-time records: Max: 69.528 on 28/08/2013 - Min: 1.30 in 1948
  • Last 5 years: 74.42 on 11/10/2018 - Min: 61.81 on 28/03/2015

* Data as of February 2020


USD/INR FORECAST 2020

Adding to persistent concerns about the slowing domestic economy, the risk of fiscal slippage might further prevent the currency from recouping this year's losses against the dollar in 2020. Indian rupee forecast will be determined by the resolution of the current tight trading range between 70.50 and 72.00.

About the Fed, and according to its updated quarterly economic projections, policymakers anticipate no rate change in 2020. Officials pencil in only one move in 2021, a rate-hike, and another in 2022. The Fed's favorable outlook has calmed concerns that the economy could falter and might result in a modest depreciation for the greenback in 2020.

Read Haresh Menghani full report


ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE USD/INR THE MOST

  • Currencies: USD, CNY and GBP.
  • Commodities: Gold, oil and silver (India is a major oil and commodity importer).
  • Bonds: T-NOTE 10Y (10 year United States Treasury note) and GIND10YR (India Government Bond Generic Bid Yield 10 Year).
  • Indices: S&P BSE SENSEX (S&P Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index), NIFTY (National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market) and NSE (National Stock Exchange of India Ltd).

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE USD/INR

In India, the organizations and people that affect the most the moves of the USD/INR pair are:

  • Reserve Bank of India which controls the issue and supply of the Indian rupee. RBI is the regulator of entire Banking in India. It plays an important part in the Development Strategy of the Government of India, issues statements and decides on the interest rates of the country. Its Governor is Shaktikanta Das.
  • Government of India, often abbreviated as GoI, (whose President is Ram Nath Kovind) and its Ministry of Finance (whose minister is Nirmala Sitharaman) that implement policies that affect the economy of the country.

In the USA, we have:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States of America whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government (and its President Donald Trump): events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it, in this case the Bank of India.

In terms of economic data, we should highlight the Trade Account Balance, a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the USD/INR. If a steady demand in exchange for INR exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the INR.

Inflation is another economic value that is important for the USD/INR pair. It is measured among others by the CPI (Core Price Index) and the PPI (Production Price Index). They are key indicators to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends.