|

WTI steadies below $72.00 amid jittery markets, US Dollar’s retreat amid fears of US default

  • WTI crude oil consolidates the biggest daily loss in three weeks.
  • Mixed sentiment about US debt ceiling deal, Oil demand-supply concerns prod energy traders.
  • Cautious mood ahead of the key data/events also restricts immediate WTI moves.
  • US data, OPEC+ meeting eyed for directions, US debt ceiling updates are key.

WTI crude oil prints mild gains around $72.00 as it pares the previous day’s losses, the biggest in three weeks, heading into Friday’s European session. In doing so, the black gold struggles to justify a retreat in the US Dollar price amid mixed sentiment. Also troubling the Oil benchmark traders are mixed concerns about the demand-supply matrix of the WTI crude oil.

That said, the market sentiment dribbles as US policymakers’ inability to clinch a deal on the US debt ceiling extension contrasts with the chatters suggesting a $70.0 billion gap left to be filled by the negotiators to get the much-awaited deal. Recently, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy announced no agreement on the debt deal, as well as the continuation of talks by saying, “It’s hard. But we’re working and we’re going to continue to work until we get this done.”

It’s worth noting that the unimpressive tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, despite upbeat US data, prods the US Dollar bulls ahead of another round of key statistics, also allowing the Oil sellers to take a breather.

Elsewhere, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday, “I do not see new steps at the June 4th OPEC+ meeting.” Russia’s Novak also added that he sees Brent above $80/bbl by year-end, $77 at the latest.

Against this backdrop, US stock futures print mild losses while the US Dollar Index retreat from a two-month high and the yields dribble near the highest levels since March. All of it portrays mixed sentiment and challenge the Oil price.

Looking ahead, the key data including the US Durable Goods Orders for April and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for the said month, known as the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, can direct intraday traders. However, major attention will be given to the next week’s OPEC+ meeting and US debt ceiling updates.

Technical analysis

WTI crude oil grinds higher within a two-month-old rising support line and the 50-DMA, around $71.65 and $74.60 in that order. 

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price71.9
Today Daily Change0.07
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open71.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA2072.13
Daily SMA5074.51
Daily SMA10076
Daily SMA20079.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High74.36
Previous Daily Low71.03
Previous Weekly High73.55
Previous Weekly Low69.39
Previous Monthly High83.4
Previous Monthly Low73.88
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%72.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%73.09
Daily Pivot Point S170.45
Daily Pivot Point S269.08
Daily Pivot Point S367.12
Daily Pivot Point R173.79
Daily Pivot Point R275.74
Daily Pivot Point R377.12

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD consolidates recent losses around 1.3200

GBP/USD enters a bearish consolidation phase around 1.3200 in early Europe on Wednesday. The pair's rebound remains capped amid a broadly firmer US Dollar and chaotic UK political environment. The focus is now on BoE-speak for fresh trading impetus.

EUR/USD hits yearly low, eyes 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD sits at yearly lows, eyeing 1.1350 in the European morning on Wednesday. The pair remains vulnerable to further declines amid a bullish US Dollar. The Greenback continues to draw support from hawkish Fed bets and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

Gold bounces off $4,050 but downside risks persist

Gold rebounds from a nearly two-week low of $4,050 in the early European session on Wednesday. Despite easing inflationary concerns in the face of the recent fall in Crude Oil prices, traders have been pricing in a greater chance of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, which will continue to limit the bullion's recovery.

Dogecoin tests a key make-or-break point amid waning retail support

Dogecoin trades below $0.08000 maintaining a steady decline for the seventh straight week. The meme coin is losing its retail strength as DOGE futures Open Interest drops 10% in 24 hours, while institutional demand remains muted with zero inflows so far this week.

"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.