|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil buyers stay hopeful beyond $77.80 despite pullback from 13-day-old resistance

  • WTI crude oil prints the first daily loss in three while retreating from short-term key resistance line.
  • Convergence of 200-day EMA, 50-day EMA puts a floor under the Oil Price.
  • Market’s cautious optimism also favors energy buyers despite mild losses.

WTI crude oil remains mildly offered near $79.80 as it takes a U-turn from a two-week-old resistance line to print the first daily loss in three heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the Black Gold also justifies the bearish MACD signals while struggling to cheer the softer US Dollar, as well as China-inspired risk-on mood.

Also read: S&P 500 Futures, yields portray cautious optimism on China stimulus while preparing for US inflation, NFP

That said, a downward-sloping resistance line from August 09, around $80.15 by the press time, restricts the immediate upside of the energy benchmark.

Given the downbeat MACD signals and the latest retreat from the key resistance line, the Oil price may witness further pullback in the price.

However, a convergence of the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), around $77.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Oil bears.

Also acting as a short-term downside filter is the early July peak of around $77.15, a break of which will quickly drag the WTI crude oil price towards the high marked in May around d $74.70.

On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the stated resistance line, close to $80.15 will aim for the previous weekly high of around $81.70 before April’s top of $83.40.

In a case where the black gold remains firmer past $83.40, the current monthly high of around $84.35 will act as the last defense of the WTI sellers.

WTI Price: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price79.76
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open79.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.94
Daily SMA5076.58
Daily SMA10075.12
Daily SMA20075.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High80.3
Previous Daily Low78.06
Previous Weekly High81.68
Previous Weekly Low77.53
Previous Monthly High81.78
Previous Monthly Low69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%79.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.92
Daily Pivot Point S178.56
Daily Pivot Point S277.19
Daily Pivot Point S376.32
Daily Pivot Point R180.8
Daily Pivot Point R281.67
Daily Pivot Point R383.04

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).