|

WTI Price Analysis: Jostles with 50-DMA to convince Oil buyers

  • WTI grinds higher after crossing one-week-old resistance line.
  • Unimpressive oscillators, 50-DMA challenges Oil bulls ahead of the key 100-DMA hurdle.
  • Pullback remains elusive below $75.60 support confluence, $73.00-72.50 region appears a tough nut to crack for bears.

WTI crude oil struggles to extend the previous day’s stellar run-up around the weekly top, making rounds to $77.70-60 during early Wednesday. In doing so, the black gold seesaws around the 50-DMA amid sluggish RSI (14) and MACD signals.

It’s worth noting, however, that Tuesday’s upside break of a one-week-long descending trend line keeps WTI bulls hopeful.

Hence, a clear upside break of the 50-DMA hurdle, currently around $77.80, appears necessary for the WTI bulls to keep the reins.

Even so, the 100-DMA and a two-month-old descending resistance line, respectively around $80.90 and $82.70, could challenge the Oil buyers before giving them control.

That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the commodity’s November-December 2023 downturn near $84.30, also known as the “Golden Ratio”, acts as the last defense of the Oil bears.

Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line joins the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement to highlight $75.60 as the key support confluence for WTI bears to watch for taking entries.

Following that, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early December 2022, near $73.00-72.50, will be crucial as a break of which can quickly drag the prices toward late 2022 low near $70.30.

Overall, Oil buyers need to wait for a clear sign but the bears are clearly off the table.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Sideways

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price77.67
Today Daily Change3.02
Today Daily Change %4.05%
Today daily open74.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.79
Daily SMA5077.61
Daily SMA10081.01
Daily SMA20090.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High74.68
Previous Daily Low72.5
Previous Weekly High80.61
Previous Weekly Low73.36
Previous Monthly High82.68
Previous Monthly Low72.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%73.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%73.34
Daily Pivot Point S173.21
Daily Pivot Point S271.77
Daily Pivot Point S371.03
Daily Pivot Point R175.39
Daily Pivot Point R276.13
Daily Pivot Point R377.57

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).