|

WTI Price Analysis: Bears poke $76.00 with eyes on further downside

  • WTI remains pressured around the monthly low, extends Friday’s losses.
  • Six-week-old descending trend line can test the bears on the way to sub-$70.00 area.
  • Double-top confirmation adds strength to the bearish bias.
  • Buyers need to cross $81.30 to retake control.

WTI crude oil price stays depressed as it flirts with $76.00 during early Monday. In doing so, the black gold drops for the second consecutive day while highlighting mid-November’s confirmation of the double-top bearish chart pattern.

Even so, the nearly oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI), placed at 14, highlights a downward-sloping support line from October 18, close to $74.30, as immediate key support.

Following that, a south-run towards the theoretical target for the “Double Top” confirmation, near $69.80, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the $70.00 round figure may act as a buffer during the anticipated fall.

On the flip side, recovery moves may initially need to cross a two-week-old resistance line near $79.60 to convince the short-term buyers.

However, a horizontal line around $81.30, known as the confirmation level for the “double top” bearish chart pattern, appears crucial for WTI crude oil buyers as it holds the key to their conviction.

In a case where the crude oil buyers manage to keep the reins past $81.30, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards $93.00, comprising the monthly high and October’s peak, will be in focus.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price76.02
Today Daily Change-0.32
Today Daily Change %-0.42%
Today daily open76.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA2084.54
Daily SMA5084.58
Daily SMA10088.01
Daily SMA20096.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.9
Previous Daily Low76.27
Previous Weekly High82.3
Previous Weekly Low75.28
Previous Monthly High92.63
Previous Monthly Low79.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.51
Daily Pivot Point S175.11
Daily Pivot Point S273.87
Daily Pivot Point S371.48
Daily Pivot Point R178.74
Daily Pivot Point R281.13
Daily Pivot Point R382.37

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP run into resistance as retail buying cools
Cryptocurrencies are broadly consolidating on Thursday, while Bitcoin (BTC) retreats toward support at $64,000. Ethereum (ETH) hovers below $1,800, with its upside seemingly limited, following a macro-driven rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) sits on top of the reclaimed $1.10 support, reflecting the broader cool-down in the market.
A win for England: First half growth on positive track, keeps pound buoyant
The pound is edging lower on Thursday, after Wednesday’s stunning rally on the back of reports that current home secretary Shabana Mahmood is set to become Chancellor next week. This is easing fears that the hard left of the Labour party will have control at the Treasury. GBP/USD is higher by nearly 1% this week, although it is pulling back from the $1.3550 level this morning.
-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.