|

WTI Price Analysis: Bears poke $76.00 with eyes on further downside

  • WTI remains pressured around the monthly low, extends Friday’s losses.
  • Six-week-old descending trend line can test the bears on the way to sub-$70.00 area.
  • Double-top confirmation adds strength to the bearish bias.
  • Buyers need to cross $81.30 to retake control.

WTI crude oil price stays depressed as it flirts with $76.00 during early Monday. In doing so, the black gold drops for the second consecutive day while highlighting mid-November’s confirmation of the double-top bearish chart pattern.

Even so, the nearly oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI), placed at 14, highlights a downward-sloping support line from October 18, close to $74.30, as immediate key support.

Following that, a south-run towards the theoretical target for the “Double Top” confirmation, near $69.80, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the $70.00 round figure may act as a buffer during the anticipated fall.

On the flip side, recovery moves may initially need to cross a two-week-old resistance line near $79.60 to convince the short-term buyers.

However, a horizontal line around $81.30, known as the confirmation level for the “double top” bearish chart pattern, appears crucial for WTI crude oil buyers as it holds the key to their conviction.

In a case where the crude oil buyers manage to keep the reins past $81.30, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards $93.00, comprising the monthly high and October’s peak, will be in focus.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price76.02
Today Daily Change-0.32
Today Daily Change %-0.42%
Today daily open76.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA2084.54
Daily SMA5084.58
Daily SMA10088.01
Daily SMA20096.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.9
Previous Daily Low76.27
Previous Weekly High82.3
Previous Weekly Low75.28
Previous Monthly High92.63
Previous Monthly Low79.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.51
Daily Pivot Point S175.11
Daily Pivot Point S273.87
Daily Pivot Point S371.48
Daily Pivot Point R178.74
Daily Pivot Point R281.13
Daily Pivot Point R382.37

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).