WTI Price Analysis: Bears looking to failure below 200-DMA
- Price running close to tough resistance bears looking for a major correction.
- 61.8% Fib, 200 DMA and prior structure confluence make for string resistance.
- Divergence supports the case for correction of weekly bullish impulse.
WTI has been boosted of late by fundamentals, but how long can the price action withstand an increasingly validated bearish technical landscape?
The following charts demonstrate tough monthly resistance overhead and the possibility of a correction back to test prior monthly resistance turned support at the neckline of a W-formation and a high volume node.
Bulls have rallied very close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, depending on your broker's charts, the price may already have touched the Fibo.
If there is any upside left, it may only be a handful of dollars left in the bullish outlook at this juncture, IF resistance proves too tough and the fundamentals deteriorate again.
Monthly bearish H&S
61.8%, prior support of H&S neckline
W-formation's bullish impulse is due for a correction
Daily 200 DMA reinforcing bearish bias
Still some upside breathing room to go
It is important to note that should minor support hold, then bulls will be looking for entries to run the 200-day moving average stops and bearish case to weekly neckline will be invalidated as bull strend will remains in tact.
Bearish divergence
On the 4HR time frame, sell-entries will need to wait for bearish conditions such as price below 21 moving average.
However, we have bearish divergence on the momentum indicator and a break below minor support and the 38.2% fib retracement, bears can target at least a 50% mean reversion to said W-formation neckline on the monthly chart.
Author
Ross J Burland
FXStreet
Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.
