|

When is the US GDP report and how could it affect EUR/USD?

US Q2 GDP Overview

Thursday's US economic docket highlights the release of revised US Q2 GDP growth figures, scheduled to be published at 12:30 GMT. The second estimate is anticipated to show that the economic growth in the April-June quarter stood at 2.0% annualized pace as against the advance estimate of 2.1%, marking a sharp deceleration from the first quarter's final print of 3.1%.
 
as Joseph Trevisani - FXStreet's own Analyst explains - “The relatively small percentage of US GDP that stems from manufacturing, 12%-15% and the even smaller percentage due to exports 3%-5% are not sufficient to derail overall growth based on an expansive consumer. Their relative decline, however, has probably restricted economic activity to a 2.0%-2.5% range.”

Deviation impact on EUR/USD

Readers can find FX Street's proprietary deviation impact map of the event below. As observed the reaction on the pair, in case of a deviation between +0.68 to -0.82, is likely to be in the range of 20-34 pips in the first 15-minutes and could extend to 45-pips in the following 4-hours.

fxsoriginal

How could it affect EUR/USD?

Ahead of the important release, Yohay Elam, Analyst at FXStreet provides important technical levels to trade the EUR/USD pair – “Support awaits at 1.1050, which provided support late last week. The next level to watch is 1.1027 – the 2019 low. 1.1000 and 1.0960 are next.”
 
“Resistance awaits at 1.1115, which has capped the pair several times in recent weeks. It is closely followed by 1.1130 – twice a support line – and by 1.1165,” he added further.

Key Notes

   •  US second quarter GDP 1st revision preview: Consumers are sufficient for 2%
 
   •  EUR/USD path of least resistance is down ahead of critical data – Confluence Detector
 
   •  EUR/USD analysis: Weak price action continues ahead of German CPI, US GDP

About the US GDP

The Gross Domestic Product Annualized released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold not done with record highs

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.