|

USDCAD Price Analysis: Bulls are hanging on by a thread above 1.3300

  • USDCAD bulls remain in play but there are risks of a break below 1.3300.
  • Bulls need to clear 1.3380 for the prospects fo a firmer run to 1.3550. 

As per the prior day's bullish thesis, USDCAD Price Analysis: Bulls moving in and eye a 38.2% Fibo, the price indeed moved in on the targetted area. However, the bears were quick to pounce on the rally and we are back to square one as the following illustrates: 

it was explained that the Bank of Canada next meets on December 7 and a 25 bp hike to 4.0% is expected and that there is a long time between now and then that gave rise to prospects of a meanwhile correction as follows:

USDCAD weekly chart

The M-Formation was a compelling bullish feature, but it was also explained that there could still be some downside to come:

A break of the support was eyed as a catalyst that would open up the way to dynamic trendline support.

However, the bulls were firming and the 38.2% Fibonacci was eyed for the remainder of the week:

USDCAD update

We have seen that move already. Until a break of 1.33 the figure, the emphasis remains on the upside as per the hourly chart: 

The M-formation is a reversion pattern and so long as the bulls can get above 1.3380 and then 1.3420, there will be prospects of a move into the price imbalance and 1.3550 will be vulnerable. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.