|

USD/TRY climbs to fresh all-time highs around 28.1500

  • The Turkish currency depreciates to record lows vs. the greenback.
  • The CBR hiked rates by 500 bps at its event on Thursday.
  • The bank keeps the inflation target at 5.00%.

Further selling pressure hurts the Turkish lira and lifts USD/TRY to a new all-time high around 28.1500 on Thursday.

USD/TRY accelerates the move higher despite the CBRT hike

USD/TRY extends its advance and looks to consolidate the recent breakout of the 28.00 hurdle despite the fact that the Turkish central bank (CBRT) raised the One-Week Repo Rate by 500 bps to 35.00% (from 30.00%), matching the broad consensus.

That said, the central bank raised its key policy rate by 500 bps for the second consecutive meeting, while the lira has already depreciated more than 28% vs. the US dollar since January.

The central bank justified its decision to extend the tightening cycle in light of still-highly elevated inflation and potential upside risks stemming from higher crude oil prices and geopolitical concerns.

In addition, the CBRT maintains its inflation target at 5.00% in the medium term and stands ready to further tighten its monetary conditions accordingly.

USD/TRY key levels

So far, the pair is gaining 0.35% to 28.1440 and faces the next up-barrier at 28.1551 (all-time high October 26) ahead of 29.0000 (round level). On the downside, a break below 27.2064 (55-day SMA) would expose 26.5841 (100-day SMA) and finally 25.2143 (monthly low August 24).

(This story was corrected on October 26 at 12:13 GMT to say that USD/TRY climbs to fresh all-time highs.)

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds rebound near 0.6900 on US-China trade optimism

AUD/USD holds the rebound near 0.6900 in the Asian session on Monday. Mixed China's inflation data for October fails to provide any inspiration to the Chinese proxy, the Australian Dollar, but China's extension of the suspension of 24% tariffs on US goods and reduced US-Iran tensions help the Aussie pair cling to recovery gains.

USD/JPY retreat in sync with USD, appraches 158.00

USD/JPY is back in the red at the start of the week on Monday, eyeing the broad US Dollar retreat amid easing US-Iran tensions. Traders also resorting to profit-taking following the blockbuster US Nonfarm Payrolls data-led rally. US CPI report is next in focus.

Gold rises amid US-Iran peace deal hopes, softer US Dollar

Gold price recovers some lost ground above $4,020 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The prospects of diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict and weaker US Dollar (USD) boost the precious metal.

Solana: Persistent ETF outflows extend downside risk in SOL

Solana trades below $90 on Monday, ticking higher after over 3% losses below a long-term support trendline the previous day. SOL has been steadily declining over the last five weeks, aligning with five straight weekly outflows from Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Funds totaling over $150 million.

Economics week ahead

This week, attention turns to Tuesday’s CPI report, with no year-over-year readings available because of last October’s shutdown-related data gap. We expect headline and core inflation to clock 0.28% and 0.21% month-over-month, respectively. Softer core inflation would offer some relief after September’s upside surprise but should still leave our call for a December rate hike intact.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.