USD/JPY to race higher as US Treasury yields continue to rise

FXStreet Team FXStreet

The consolidation in the USD/JPY over the past two weeks has given a firm base at 108.50. Meanwhile, US 10-Year Treasury yield climbed above 1.7%, a 14-month high. If American Treasury rates continue to rise they will pull the USD/JPY higher, according to FXStreet’s Analyst Joseph Trevisani.

Key quotes

“With the US Federal Reserve apparently happy or at least tolerant of rising Treasury and commercial yields and the BOJ quietly pleased, the direction of the USD/JPY is higher. Nonetheless, even under this fundamental impetus, the longer the pair lingers without new highs, the greater the temptation for traders to book some of those gains.”

“The USD/JPY ranged above 110.00 for much of 2018 and 2019 so there is no fundamental reason that if US rates continue to rise, it could not return to those levels.”

“Technical analysis shows the USD/JPY has good support at 108.50 and at 107.90. Immediate resistance at 109.35 and 109.65 is weak. The early pandemic plunge and recovery from late February to late March last year will give little pause one way or another, the traded volumes on those panicky days were far too thin for positioning.”

Author

FXStreet Team

FXStreet

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.