- USD/JPY wobbles near one-week high after two-day uptrend.
- US Treasury yields snap two-day recovery moves, S&P 500 Futures print mild gains.
- US Retail Sales, pre-Fed sentiment should be observed for fresh impulse.
USD/JPY stays firmer around the weekly top near 110.10, recently struggling near 110.05, as markets in Tokyo open for Tuesday’s trading. The yen pair rose notably during the last two days as the safe-haven buying put a bid under the US dollar. However, the latest cautious sentiment ahead of the US Retail Sales for May and Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting probes the pair buyers.
Despite offering an indecisive closing the previous day, the US dollar index (DXY) stayed near the monthly top surrounding 90.60.
Behind the moves could be the mismatch of the recent pick-up in the US Treasury yields and a recovery in the inflation expectations that highlight tapering woes pre-Fed.
It’s worth noting that the fears of coronavirus (COVID-19) in Japan and a snap election joins broad cautious sentiment before this week’s key event, FOMC, to probe the pair’s buyers, due to its risk-barometer status.
Additionally, Japan’s final print of Industrial Production for April, 15.8% versus 15.4% initial estimation, also favored USD/JPY buyers.
Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures stay mildly bid around the record top whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields ease one basis point (bp) to stop the previous two-day recovery around 1.49% by the press time.
Given the light calendar and cautious mood ahead of the key data/events, USD/JPY may remain sidelined before the US Retail Sales for May. However, the US dollar pick-up during the pre-Fed sessions could keep buyers hopeful.
Read: US May Retail Sales Preview: Analyzing major pairs' reaction to previous releases
Technical analysis
Although the monthly top surrounding 110.30-35 acts as a tough nut to crack for the USD/JPY bulls, the pair sellers may not risk entries until the quote stay beyond a seven-week-old support line, around 109.45.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150
EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains
GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains.
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610
Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap
SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.