|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dragonfly doji looms, bulls target 141.00

  • USD/JPY recovers after diving to a YTD low; a daily close above 140.25 paves the way for further upside.
  • Key resistance levels include 142.57 (Tenkan-Sen), 143.52 (Senkou Span A), and 144.48 (Kijun-Sen).
  • Momentum remains bearish, but bullish patterns like a ‘dragonfly doji’ or ‘hammer’ could signal a leg higher if confirmed.

The USD/JPY recovers some ground late in the North American session after touching a new year-to-date (YTD) low of 139.58 earlier in the day. At the time of writing, the major pair traded at 140.85 and registered minimal gains of 0.03%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend would likely continue after clearing December’s 28 low of 140.25, but USD/JPY buyers bought the dip, clearing the latter as the pair aims towards 141.00.

A daily close above 140.25 would open the way to testing key resistance levels amid a busy week of monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.

Momentum hints that sellers remain in control, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). But if Monday’s price action completes a ‘dragon-fly doji’ or a ‘hammer,’ look for a leg up.

On further strength, USD/JPY's first resistance would be the Tenkan-Sen at 142.57, followed by the Senkou Span A at 143.52. If those levels are cleared, buyers can aim for the Kijun-Sen at 144.48.

Conversely, if sellers drag prices below 140.25, that can pave the way for further downside.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.44%-0.65%0.06%-0.05%-0.64%-0.49%-0.25%
EUR0.44% -0.27%0.44%0.36%-0.26%-0.11%0.15%
GBP0.65%0.27% 0.65%0.62%0.00%0.17%0.42%
JPY-0.06%-0.44%-0.65% -0.10%-0.63%-0.51%-0.36%
CAD0.05%-0.36%-0.62%0.10% -0.67%-0.44%-0.31%
AUD0.64%0.26%-0.00%0.63%0.67% 0.16%0.40%
NZD0.49%0.11%-0.17%0.51%0.44%-0.16% 0.25%
CHF0.25%-0.15%-0.42%0.36%0.31%-0.40%-0.25% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3250 on resurgent USD demand

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3250 in European trading on Tuesday, reversing a part of the previous day's advance to a one-week high. The pair ditches a three-day winning streak, undermined by the USD/JPY upsurge-led broad US Dollar rebound. US jobs data in next in focus.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1400 after soft German inflation data

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory below 1.1400 on Tuesday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak amid a firmer US Dollar. Softer-than-expected June inflation readings from Germany make it even more difficult for the Euro to stay resilient against the USD.

Gold rebounds after hitting fresh 2026-low, trades above $4,000

Gold (XAU/USD) builds on its intraday recovery from the lowest level since November 2025, touched below $3,950 earlier this Tuesday, and trades marginally higher on the day above $4,000. Any meaningful appreciation still seems elusive in the wake of a broadly firmer US Dollar. Against the backdrop of renewed Mideast tensions, mixed signals on US-Iran talks assist the USD and limit XAU/USD's upside.

Ripple defends critical support, Stellar extends recovery

Ripple (XRP) trades around the key $1.00 psychological level, consolidating as the token awaits its next directional catalyst. Stellar (XLM) extends its recovery above $0.178 after posting modest gains at the start of this week.

US JOLTS Job Openings expected to show strong labor demand, endorsing Fed rate hike bets

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May on Tuesday at 14:00 GMT. Job openings are expected to come in at 7.3 million in May.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.