|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Bounces off weekly low, flat above 148.00

  • USD/JPY trades at 148.17 after hitting a low of 147.55, supported by buyers returning above the 148.00 level.
  • Technical outlook suggests upside potential with resistance at 149.14, followed by 149.39 and 150.00.
  • A drop below the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.60-80 could signal further downside for the pair.

The USD/JPY remains virtually unchanged after dropping to a two-day low of 147.55 amid hopes of a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel, as stated by Hezbollah’s prominent leader, according to CNN. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.17, flat.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Although the USD/JPY paused its uptrend, the pair resumed its advance.

The pair hit a weekly low of 147.34, but buyers moving in pushed the exchange rate above the 148.00 psychological figure, opening the door for further upside.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bulls in charge, even though it shows momentum paused.

For USD/JPY buyers to resume the uptrend, the first resistance will be the October 7 high at 149.14. A breach of the latter will expose the August 15 high of 149.39, followed by the 150.00 figure. Once those areas are surpassed, buyers will eye the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 151.13.

On the flip side, if USD/JPY drops below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at 146.60-80, this could pave the way for further downside.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.05%-0.16%0.00%0.20%0.15%-0.19%0.34%
EUR0.05% -0.11%0.07%0.25%0.20%-0.16%0.38%
GBP0.16%0.11% 0.16%0.35%0.31%-0.06%0.50%
JPY0.00%-0.07%-0.16% 0.31%0.14%-0.21%0.34%
CAD-0.20%-0.25%-0.35%-0.31% -0.05%-0.39%0.14%
AUD-0.15%-0.20%-0.31%-0.14%0.05% -0.36%0.21%
NZD0.19%0.16%0.06%0.21%0.39%0.36% 0.55%
CHF-0.34%-0.38%-0.50%-0.34%-0.14%-0.21%-0.55% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold sinks to over two-month low as higher-for-longer interest rate expectations weigh

Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,100 on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while energy-driven inflation concerns from Middle East tensions reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain elevated longer.

The estimates keep falling: Why Bitcoin's quantum countdown is accelerating

The threat that Artificial Intelligence (AI) and quantum computing pose to Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies in general is no longer a matter of if hardware will catch up; it is a matter of when.

3 Gold forecasts at $4,100: A bullish Arc rejection, a bearish Fed setup and a festival tiebreaker

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,100, and the three latest analyses cannot agree on what the level means: one sees the bounce from support as confirmation of a potential push toward $4,227, another argues every rally is vulnerable while price sits under its 20-day EMA, and the third points to India's Diwali buying season as the physical test about to meet the market.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.