USD/JPY Price Analysis: Yen bears appear well set to refresh weekly low around 132.90

USD/JPY fades bounce off eight-day low as 50-DMA challenges corrective bounce.
Impending bear cross on MACD, steady RSI favor continuation of the latest downside.
100-DMA, 3.5-month-old ascending trend line appear tough nuts to crack for Yen pair sellers.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/JPY drops back towards the lowest levels in a week, mildly offered near 133.55 by the press time, as it defends the previous day’s downside break of the 50-DMA amid early Wednesday.

Adding strength to the bearish bias is the steady RSI (14) line around the 50.00 level, as well as the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator.

With this, the Yen pair is all set to revisit the eight-day low marked on Tuesday around 133.35. However, the 100-DMA support of near 132.90 could challenge the USD/JPY bears afterward.

In a case where the quote remains bearish past 132.90, an upward-sloping support line from the mid-January, close to 131.90 by the press time, will be the last defense of the Yen pair buyers as a break of which could open doors for the pair’s fall towards the yearly low of near 127.20.

Alternatively, a daily closing beyond the 50-DMA level of 133.80 becomes necessary for the USD/JPY buyers to take the risk of fresh entry.

Even so, the latest swing high around 135.15 and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since November 2022, surrounding 133.45-70, will be a tough nut to crack for the Yen pair bulls.

To sum up, USD/JPY remains on the bear’s radar with the 50-DMA breakdown.

USD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	133.58
Today Daily Change	-0.21
Today Daily Change %	-0.16%
Today daily open	133.79

Trends
Daily SMA20	133.21
Daily SMA50	133.79
Daily SMA100	132.95
Daily SMA200	137.03

Levels
Previous Daily High	134.48
Previous Daily Low	133.37
Previous Weekly High	135.14
Previous Weekly Low	133.55
Previous Monthly High	137.91
Previous Monthly Low	129.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	133.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	134.05
Daily Pivot Point S1	133.28
Daily Pivot Point S2	132.77
Daily Pivot Point S3	132.17
Daily Pivot Point R1	134.39
Daily Pivot Point R2	134.99
Daily Pivot Point R3	135.5

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.