|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Plummets below 150.00, hits 5-month low and turns bearish

  • USD/JPY closes below 150.00 for the first time since March, hitting a five-month low of 148.51.
  • Technical indicators show strong downtrend, with RSI suggesting potential for oversold rebound.
  • Key resistance at 150.00 and 151.00, with support levels at 148.51, 148.00, and March low of 146.48.

The USD/JPY descended on Thursday trading, breaking below the 150.00 psychological figure and achieving a daily close below the latter for the first time since March. The pair whipsawed in a 200-pip range, sending the Japanese Yen to a five-month high of 148.51. As Friday’s Asian session kicks in, the major trades at 149.34, virtually unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair has broken below the 200-day moving average (DMA) and is 500-plus pips below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), confirming a strong downtrend. However, it has begun to show some signs of being overextended.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pierced below the 20 reading, and when that happens on a strong downtrend, RSI becomes oversold meaning the USD/JPY is subject to a mean reversion move.

If USD/JPY climbs past the 150.00 psychological figure, the first resistance would be the 151.00 mark. Once cleared, the 200-DMA emerges as the next resistance at 151.59, ahead of the 152.00 mark.

On the other hand, and the path of least resistance, if the pair drops below 148.51, the next demand zone would be 148.00, and with the Average True Range (ATR) being at 169 pips, the next support would be the March 8 bottom at 146.48.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.01%0.00%-0.03%-0.02%0.04%0.02%0.00%
EUR0.00% 0.00%0.00%-0.04%0.05%0.01%0.02%
GBP-0.01%-0.00% -0.04%-0.03%0.03%0.00%0.03%
JPY0.03%0.00%0.04% 0.01%0.06%0.02%0.05%
CAD0.02%0.04%0.03%-0.01% 0.06%0.06%0.06%
AUD-0.04%-0.05%-0.03%-0.06%-0.06% -0.02%-0.01%
NZD-0.02%-0.01%0.00%-0.02%-0.06%0.02% 0.03%
CHF-0.00%-0.02%-0.03%-0.05%-0.06%0.01%-0.03% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.