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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Hits 38-year high at around 160.80s

  • USD/JPY reaches multi-year peak at 160.83, surpassing key 160.00 level amid USD strength.
  • Technicals show strong uptrend with overbought RSI, buying momentum strong.
  • Resistance levels: 161.00, 162.00, 164.87 (Nov 1986 high), 178 (Apr 1986 high).
  • Support found at 158.75 (June 24 low), Tenkan-Sen at 157.82, Senkou Span A at 157.53, Kijun-Sen at 157.24.

The USD/JPY rallied sharply during Wednesday’s session after the pair hit a 38-year high past the 160.00 psychological figure, seen as the line of the sand for Japanese authorities and the Japanese Yen to intervene in the FX space. Nevertheless, failure to do it prompted US dollar bulls to push the exchange rate higher, and at the time of writing, the pair traded at 160.83, which was up 0.73%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY is upward biased and extended its gains past the psychological 160.00 barrier for the second time since April 29, when the pair printed a year-to-date (YTD) high of 160.32. This has reignited fears that Japanese authorities or the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could step into the plate to halt Yen’s depreciation.

Momentum favors buyers, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at overbought conditions. However, due to the strength of the uptrend, most technicians use 80 as “extreme” overextended conditions.

The next resistance would be the psychological levels of 161.00, 162.00, and so forth, ahead of testing November’s 1986 high of 164.87, followed by April's 1986 high of 178.

Conversely, if USD/JPY drops below 160.00, the first support would be June’s 24 low of 158.75, followed by the Tenkan-Sen at 157.82. Once those levels are cleared, the next stop would be the Senkou Span A at 157.53, and then the Kijun-Sen at 157.24.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price160.8
Today Daily Change1.12
Today Daily Change %0.70
Today daily open159.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20157.41
Daily SMA50156.35
Daily SMA100153.45
Daily SMA200150.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High159.76
Previous Daily Low159.19
Previous Weekly High159.84
Previous Weekly Low157.16
Previous Monthly High157.99
Previous Monthly Low151.86
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%159.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%159.41
Daily Pivot Point S1159.32
Daily Pivot Point S2158.97
Daily Pivot Point S3158.76
Daily Pivot Point R1159.89
Daily Pivot Point R2160.11
Daily Pivot Point R3160.46

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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