|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bounces off immediate support to pare intraday losses above 137.00

  • USD/JPY recovers from intraday low, bounces off three-day-old support line.
  • Bearish MACD signals, one-week-old ascending trend line challenge buyers.
  • 200-HMA, 134.50 act as the additional downside filters.

USD/JPY picks up bids to 137.40 as it pares intraday losses during early Friday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Yen pair bounces off an upward-sloping support line from Tuesday.

That said, the recovery moves currently aim for the ascending resistance line from December 07, close to 138.10. However, bearish MACD signals and the stated hurdle could challenge the pair’s further upside.

In a case where the USD/JPY pair stays firmer past 138.10, the 139.00 round figure and the November-end swing high near 139.90 could challenge the bulls.

It’s worth noting that the 140.00 round figure acts as the last defense of the pair bears.

Alternatively, a downside break of the aforementioned immediate support line, close to 137.25 by the press time, isn’t an open ticket to the USD/JPY bears as the 200-HMA support around 136.55 could challenge the quote’s further downside.

Following that, the weekly low around 134.50 may probe the USD/JPY bears before directing them to the monthly bottom around 133.60.

If at all the Yen pair remains bearish past 133.60, the odds of witnessing a south-run towards May’s high near 131.30 can’t be ruled out.

USD/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price137.4
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-0.19%
Today daily open137.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20137.8
Daily SMA50142.71
Daily SMA100141.11
Daily SMA200135.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High138.18
Previous Daily Low135.23
Previous Weekly High137.86
Previous Weekly Low134.13
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%137.05
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%136.36
Daily Pivot Point S1135.87
Daily Pivot Point S2134.08
Daily Pivot Point S3132.92
Daily Pivot Point R1138.81
Daily Pivot Point R2139.97
Daily Pivot Point R3141.76

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).