|

USD/JPY prepares for a fresh rally above 143.50 amid risk-off mood

  • USD/JPY is expected to extend a rally above 143.50 as market sentiment has dampened.
  • The US Dollar Index has printed a fresh day's high at 102.70 amid sheer uncertainty in global markets.
  • Japan’s inflation has unexpectedly softened despite consistent monetary stimulus by the BoJ.

The USD/JPY pair has witnessed a marginal correction after facing fragile barricades around 143.50 in the early London session. The upside bias for the USD/JPY pair has not faded as the market sentiment is quite negative, which has improved the appeal of the US Dollar Index (DXY).

S&P500 futures have posted significant losses in Asia as investors are worried that extremely restrictive monetary policy from global central banks has accelerated fears of bleak global growth. The overall market mood is quite negative as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is going to raise interest rates further to tame persistent inflation.

The US Dollar Index has printed a fresh day's high at 102.70 amid sheer uncertainty in global markets. As per the CME Fedwatch tool, around 77% chances are in favor of a hawkish interest rate policy by the Fed for the July meeting. The odds for a hawkish July policy are still solid despite tight labor market conditions releasing heat.

On Thursday, the US Department of Labor reported marginally higher initial jobless claims for the week ending June 16. Jobless claims were higher than the consensus for the straight fourth time in a row. The claims were landed at 264K, similar to their prior release and marginally higher than expectations of 260K.

On the Japanese Yen front, inflationary pressures have unexpectedly softened despite consistent monetary stimulus by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Headline inflation has decelerated to 3.2% while the street was estimating a further boost to 4.1%. Also, it remained lower than the former release of 3.5%. Core inflation that excludes volatile oil and food prices landed at 4.3%, marginally lower than the estimates of 4.4% but remained higher than the former release of 4.1%.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price143.33
Today Daily Change0.21
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open143.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.36
Daily SMA50137.61
Daily SMA100135.52
Daily SMA200137.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.23
Previous Daily Low141.61
Previous Weekly High141.92
Previous Weekly Low139.01
Previous Monthly High140.93
Previous Monthly Low133.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.23
Daily Pivot Point S1142.08
Daily Pivot Point S2141.04
Daily Pivot Point S3140.46
Daily Pivot Point R1143.69
Daily Pivot Point R2144.27
Daily Pivot Point R3145.31

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.