|

USD/JPY falls more than 250 pips after US CPI

  • US inflation slows more than expected in November.
  • Japanese yen soars across the board following the report.
  • USD/JPY drops below 135.00 to one –week lows.

The USD/JPY collapsed after the release of US inflation data. The pair dropped from 137.60 to as low as 134.60, reaching the lowest level in a week and approaching the multi-month low of 133.58.

Inflation slows down, FOMC meeting

The US Consumer Price Index rose in November by 0.1%, below the 0.3% of market consensus. The annual rate fell from 7.7% to 7.1%, reaching the lowest level in almost a year. Inflation numbers eased expectations about the future path of Fed rate hikes.

Following the numbers the US dollar collapsed across the board and the Japanese Yen soared, boosted by a rally in Treasuries. US bond yields sank with the US 10-year falling from 3.60% to 3.43%. The DXY is falling by 1.15% under 104.00.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on monetary policy. A 50 basis points rate hike is expected. New macroeconomic forecast will be released. Powell will hold a press conference.

USD/JPY looking at the recent low

The sharp decline in USD/JPY damaged significantly the outlook for the Dollar. Price is back under the 200-day Simple Moving Average. Currently is testing the 135.00 area and a break under 134.60 would expose the next support around 134.10. Below attention would turn to the monthly low at 133.60.

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.84
Today Daily Change-2.88
Today Daily Change %-2.09
Today daily open137.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20138.31
Daily SMA50143.21
Daily SMA100141.1
Daily SMA200135.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High137.85
Previous Daily Low136.45
Previous Weekly High137.86
Previous Weekly Low134.13
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%137.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%136.98
Daily Pivot Point S1136.83
Daily Pivot Point S2135.94
Daily Pivot Point S3135.42
Daily Pivot Point R1138.23
Daily Pivot Point R2138.74
Daily Pivot Point R3139.64

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold looks slightly bid above $4,000

Gold manage to regain some balance, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Bitcoin stalls around $80,000 as geopolitical tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin hovers around $80,500 on Monday after three straight weeks of correction. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns and dampening risk appetite.

Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.