|

USD/JPY drops below 110.50 as US T-bond yields pare early gains

  • USD/JPY lost its traction during the American trading hours.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the positive territory above 92.00.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased majority of daily gains.

Following Monday's decline, the USD/JPY pair staged a technical correction and rose above 100.70 during the European trading hours. Nevertheless, the pair lost its traction in the second half of the day and was last seen losing 0.14% on the day at 110.46.

Earlier in the day, rising US Treasury bond yields helped USD/JPY push higher. After rising nearly 2%, however, the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield reversed its direction and erased a large portion of its daily gains, causing USD/JPY to turn south. Currently, the 10-year US T-bond yield is up only 0.45% on a daily basis.

Meanwhile, the data from the US showed on Tuesday that the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index improved to 127.3 in June from 120 in May. This reading came in better than Reuters' estimate of 119 but received little to no market reaction.

The US Dollar Index is currently rising 0.26% on the day at 92.12, limiting USD/JPY's downside for the time being. 

On Wednesday, May Industrial Production data for May will be featured in the Japanese economic docket.

USD/JPY near-term outlook

Credit Suisse analysts think that USD/JPY has the potential to go higher. "USD/JPY remains well supported above key support from the 13-day exponential average and uptrend from January at 110.45/03 and we continue to look for a sustained break higher," analysts said. "This should then expose long-term and more important resistance, starting at 111.93 and stretching up to the 112.40 high of 2019."

USD/JPY to grind higher and berak resistance at 111.93, then 112.18/40 – Credit Suisse.

Additional levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price110.52
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open110.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA20110.08
Daily SMA50109.39
Daily SMA100108.69
Daily SMA200106.56
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.98
Previous Daily Low110.5
Previous Weekly High111.12
Previous Weekly Low109.72
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.68
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.79
Daily Pivot Point S1110.43
Daily Pivot Point S2110.22
Daily Pivot Point S3109.95
Daily Pivot Point R1110.91
Daily Pivot Point R2111.18
Daily Pivot Point R3111.39

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD stays pressured; holds above 0.7050 as traders await Fed decision

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia-inspired bounce and trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, hold above the 0.7050 level as traders opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold remains depressed but holds above $4,300 as traders seem hesitant ahead of Fed

Gold remains on the back foot heading into the European session, though it lacks follow-through selling and holds comfortably above the $4,300 mark. Traders now seem hesitant ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC policy decision, keeping the commodity below the weekly high.

DOGE near breakout, SHIB at its ceiling and PEPE leads meme coin recovery

Meme coins are approaching a key technical level, which could determine the next directional bias. Dogecoin struggles to overcome a major resistance level, and Shiba Inu recovery lost momentum near a crucial barrier. Meanwhile, Pepe extends its rally for a sixth straight day, raising the prospects of further upside if momentum persists.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates in Warsh's debut as chair

The United States Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers and new Chair Kevin Warsh as energy prices retreat after the United States and Iran reached a framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.