|

USD/JPY drops below 110.50 as US T-bond yields pare early gains

  • USD/JPY lost its traction during the American trading hours.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the positive territory above 92.00.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased majority of daily gains.

Following Monday's decline, the USD/JPY pair staged a technical correction and rose above 100.70 during the European trading hours. Nevertheless, the pair lost its traction in the second half of the day and was last seen losing 0.14% on the day at 110.46.

Earlier in the day, rising US Treasury bond yields helped USD/JPY push higher. After rising nearly 2%, however, the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield reversed its direction and erased a large portion of its daily gains, causing USD/JPY to turn south. Currently, the 10-year US T-bond yield is up only 0.45% on a daily basis.

Meanwhile, the data from the US showed on Tuesday that the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index improved to 127.3 in June from 120 in May. This reading came in better than Reuters' estimate of 119 but received little to no market reaction.

The US Dollar Index is currently rising 0.26% on the day at 92.12, limiting USD/JPY's downside for the time being. 

On Wednesday, May Industrial Production data for May will be featured in the Japanese economic docket.

USD/JPY near-term outlook

Credit Suisse analysts think that USD/JPY has the potential to go higher. "USD/JPY remains well supported above key support from the 13-day exponential average and uptrend from January at 110.45/03 and we continue to look for a sustained break higher," analysts said. "This should then expose long-term and more important resistance, starting at 111.93 and stretching up to the 112.40 high of 2019."

USD/JPY to grind higher and berak resistance at 111.93, then 112.18/40 – Credit Suisse.

Additional levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price110.52
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open110.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA20110.08
Daily SMA50109.39
Daily SMA100108.69
Daily SMA200106.56
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.98
Previous Daily Low110.5
Previous Weekly High111.12
Previous Weekly Low109.72
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.68
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.79
Daily Pivot Point S1110.43
Daily Pivot Point S2110.22
Daily Pivot Point S3109.95
Daily Pivot Point R1110.91
Daily Pivot Point R2111.18
Daily Pivot Point R3111.39

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).