|

USD/JPY declines on soft US jobs data, eyes on Trump

  • USD/JPY retreats from six-day high as U.S. Initial Jobless Claims suggest labor market cooling.
  • Bank of Japan meeting likely to see 25 basis point rate hike, contrasting with Fed's steady stance.
  • Global markets await Trump's Davos comments, with trade policy rhetoric set to influence currencies.

The USD/JPY slides during the North American session after hitting a six-day high of 156.75, as labor market data revealed in the United States (US) came worse than expected. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 156.28, down 0.19%.

Japanese Yen appreciates ahead BoJ’s policy decision

The US Department of Labor revealed that Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended January 18 increased, to 223K, exceeding forecasts of 220K. Labor market strength and rising inflation figures had prompted the Federal Reserve from continuing to easing policy, alongside uncertainty regarding the new fiscal policy applied by the Trump administration.

Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at the next week’s meeting, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) most likely raise rates by 25 basis points (bps), which would be the highest since 2007 at the January 23-24 meeting.  Several senior BoJ officials expressed confidence on wage growth momentum.

In the meantime, the lack of economic data in the US and Japan would keep traders eyeing the US President Donald Trump appearance at the Davos World Economic Form (WEF). His trade policy rhetoric has sent waves across global financial makers,

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY has found stir resistance at the 157.00 figure with bulls unable to crack it since sliding below the latter on January 15. Momentum seems to favor sellers, as spot prices lie beneath the confluence of the Tenkan and Kijun-sen at the 156.64-156.48 range, which if broken, could pave the way for further downside. The next key support will be the January 22 low of 155.33, followed by January 21 swing low of 154.75.

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.17%-0.00%-0.09%-0.04%0.05%0.08%0.27%
EUR-0.17% -0.18%-0.28%-0.21%-0.12%-0.09%0.10%
GBP0.00%0.18% -0.10%-0.03%0.06%0.09%0.28%
JPY0.09%0.28%0.10% 0.06%0.16%0.15%0.37%
CAD0.04%0.21%0.03%-0.06% 0.10%0.12%0.31%
AUD-0.05%0.12%-0.06%-0.16%-0.10% 0.03%0.21%
NZD-0.08%0.09%-0.09%-0.15%-0.12%-0.03% 0.19%
CHF-0.27%-0.10%-0.28%-0.37%-0.31%-0.21%-0.19% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.