USD/JPY bulls look seize control above 144.00, focus remains on key US macro data

USD/JPY attracts some follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Tuesday.
Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish remarks on Monday underpin the USD and lend support.
The uncertainty over the BoJ’s rate-hike path contributes to the modest intraday uptick.

The USD/JPY pair is seen building on the overnight goodish bounce from the 141.65 area, or a nearly two-week low and gaining traction for the second straight day on Tuesday. The move-up lifts spot prices beyond the 144.00 mark during the Asian session and is sponsored by a combination of factors.

The US Dollar (USD) draws support from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's relatively hawkish tone on Monday, which forced investors to scale back their bets for another oversized rate cut in November. The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, remains on the defensive in the wake of comments from Japan's incoming Prime Minister (PM) Shigeru Ishiba, saying that the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy must remain accommodative to underpin a fragile economic recovery.

Furthermore, Ishiba said on Monday that he intends to call a general election on October 27. Apart from this, the underlying bullish sentiment across the global financial markets is seen undermining demand for the safe-haven JPY and acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. The JPY bulls remained on the sidelines after BoJ's Summary of Opinions from its September meeting revealed that the central bank will adjust its accommodative stance if economic conditions improve.

On the economic data front, Japan's Unemployment rate fell more than expected, to 2.5% in August from 2.7% in the previous month. Adding to this, a closely watched BoJ's Tankan survey showed that sentiment among Japan's big manufacturers was steady in the three months to September and a slight improvement in large non-manufacturers' mood. This, however, does little to provide any impetus to the JPY or the USD/JPY pair, supporting prospects for further intraday gains.

Market participants now look to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job Openings data. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members, will drive the USD demand and produce short-term trading opportunities around the USD/JPY pair. Apart from this, important US macro releases scheduled at the start of a new month, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, should determine the next leg of a directional move.

Economic Indicator

BoJ Summary of Opinions

This report includes the BOJ's projection for inflation and economic growth. It is scheduled 8 times per year, about 10 days after the Monetary Policy Statement is released.

Last release: Mon Sep 30, 2024 23:50

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Bank of Japan

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