|

USD/INR Price Analysis: Indian Rupee prods key hurdle for bulls around 81.80 with eyes on US NFP

  • USD/INR stays well-set for three-week losing streak, down for the fourth consecutive day.
  • Indian Rupee buyers take a breather at 11-week-old ascending trend line.
  • Clear break of upward-sloping previous support line from September 2022, bearish MACD signal favor USD/INR sellers.
  • Convergence of Five-month-old support line, 200-DMA appears a tough nut to crack for pair bears.

USD/INR bears poke a multi-day-old support line around 81.80 as it braces for the third consecutive weekly loss on early Friday. Apart from the stated support line, the Good Friday holiday and cautious mood ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release also challenge the Indian Rupee (INR) pair.

Also read: Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Markets fear depressing data, three scenarios for the US Dollar

It’s worth noting, however, that a daily closing below the support-turned-resistance line from the last September, around 82.00 by the press time, joins the bearish MACD signals to keep USD/INR sellers hopeful of breaking the immediate 81.80 support.

Following that, the quote can quickly drop to the previous monthly low of around 81.50.

Though, a convergence of the 200-DMA and a five-month-old ascending trend line, close to 81.40 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the USD/INR bears afterward.

Meanwhile, USD/INR recovery remains elusive unless the pair stays below the 82.00 previous support.

Even if the quote rises past 82.00, a downward-sloping resistance line from March 22, around 82.35 at the latest, can test the USD/INR bulls.

Above all, USD/INR buyers should remain cautious unless witnessing a daily close beyond the descending resistance line from October 2022, near 83.00 by the press time.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price81.833
Today Daily Change0.0152
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open81.8178
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.2934
Daily SMA5082.3548
Daily SMA10082.2056
Daily SMA20081.3816
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.123
Previous Daily Low81.8054
Previous Weekly High82.441
Previous Weekly Low82.03
Previous Monthly High83.0315
Previous Monthly Low81.512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.9267
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%82.0017
Daily Pivot Point S181.7078
Daily Pivot Point S281.5978
Daily Pivot Point S381.3902
Daily Pivot Point R182.0254
Daily Pivot Point R282.233
Daily Pivot Point R382.343

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold rebounds ahead of US ADP, will it last?

Gold finds renewed Asian bids and retests $5,230 early Wednesday after the heavy sell-off on Tuesday. The US Dollar stands tall amid escalating Middle East tensions and reduced dovish Fed expectations. Gold defends $5,000 or 50% Fibo level after facing rejection at the 78.6% Fibo resistance at $5,342 amid bullish RSI.  

Ethereum: Whales step up buying as short positions contract

After holding firm heading into the last weekend, Ethereum whales have returned to action, pouncing on the volatility stemming from escalating military actions between the US and Iran.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.