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USD/CNH Price Analysis: Bears catch a breather around two-month-old support line

  • USD/CNH aims to recover from five-month low while bouncing off 6.9321.
  • Oversold RSI conditions suggest further pullback but 61.8% Fibonacci retracement guards immediate upside.
  • March month’s low can please sellers below the near-term key trend line.

USD/CNH pulls back from multi-week low to 6.9458 amid the initial Chinese session on Thursday. The pair slumped to the lowest since March 09 the previous day. However, oversold RSI seems to have triggered the latest U-turn.

As a result, short-term buyers may target 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of January-May upside, at 6.9800 during the further upside. Though, July 22 low near 6.9640 could offer an intermediate halt during the rise.

In a case where the bulls dominate past-6.9800, 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 7.021 and 200-day SMA around 7.0300 could return to the charts.

Alternatively, a downward sloping trend line from June 10, at 6.9240 now, can stop the bears before pleasing them with the March low of 6.9048.

It should, however, be noted that the quote’s sustained downside past-6.9048 will make it vulnerable to revisit the yearly bottom close to 6.8455.

USD/CNH daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.9468
Today Daily Change26 pips
Today Daily Change %0.04%
Today daily open6.9442
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.9948
Daily SMA507.0446
Daily SMA1007.0742
Daily SMA2007.0316
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.9768
Previous Daily Low6.9322
Previous Weekly High7.0196
Previous Weekly Low6.975
Previous Monthly High7.0764
Previous Monthly Low6.9642
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.9492
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.9598
Daily Pivot Point S16.9253
Daily Pivot Point S26.9064
Daily Pivot Point S36.8806
Daily Pivot Point R16.97
Daily Pivot Point R26.9958
Daily Pivot Point R37.0147

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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