USD/CHF Price Analysis: Struggles to extend recovery above 0.9140-0.9160 supply zone

USD/CHF is facing barricades in stretching its recovery move above the 0.9140-0.9160 supply zone.
A hawkish commentary from SNB Chairman failed to strengthen the Swiss Franc bulls.
The RSI (14) is struggling to scale into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The USD/CHF pair has rebounded after a corrective move to near 0.9115 in the early Asian session. The Swiss franc asset is struggling to stretch an upside rally further as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways ahead of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.

Meanwhile, a hawkish commentary from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas J. Jordan failed to strengthen the Swiss Franc bulls. SNB’s Jordan confirmed more interest rate hikes as inflationary pressures are stronger than the central bank can tolerate. The SNB is ready to be active in currency markets when necessary.

S&P500 futures have dropped sharply in the Asian session after a three-day winning spell, portraying a sheer decline in investors’ risk appetite. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped below 3.40%.

USD/CHF displayed a stellar recovery after testing previous lows plotted from January 18 low at 0.9085 on an hourly scale. The recovery action was extremely solid as it pushed the asset above the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.9120 and 0.9130 respectively in no time.

The Swiss franc asset has reached near the supply zone in a 0.9140-0.9160 range. It would be optimal to observe the price action around the supply range before making any constructive position.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is struggling to scale into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An occurrence of the same will trigger the upside momentum.

For further upside, the major needs to deliver a confident move above the 0.9140-0.9160 supply zone, which will drive the asset toward January 18 high at 0.9246 followed by January 24 high at 0.9280.

On the flip side, a breakdown of Wednesday’s low at 0.9059 will drag the major toward 4 August 2021 low at 0.9018. A slippage below the latter will drag the asset further toward 10 May 2021 low at 0.8986.

USD/CHF hourly chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price	0.9141
Today Daily Change	0.0006
Today Daily Change %	0.07
Today daily open	0.9135

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.9213
Daily SMA50	0.9292
Daily SMA100	0.9552
Daily SMA200	0.9622

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.914
Previous Daily Low	0.9059
Previous Weekly High	0.928
Previous Weekly Low	0.9158
Previous Monthly High	0.941
Previous Monthly Low	0.9085
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.9109
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.909
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.9083
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.9031
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.9003
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.9163
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.9191
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.9243

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk

Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.

Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.