|

USD/CHF plunges below 0.9100 on US Dollar pullback post hot US NFP data

  • USD/CHF spirals to a weekly low of 0.9074, even as US hiring surges to a robust 336K.
  • Greenback’s rally falters, with the DXY index retracting 0.34%, slipping back beneath the pivotal 106.00.
  • Market eyes on Fed officials, upcoming meeting minutes, and crucial inflation data to discern future USD/CHF dynamics.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) extended its gains versus the US Dollar (USD) as the pair dropped past the 0.9100 figure, which briefly halted the downward pullback, but selling pressure outpaced buyers struggling to cap the downtrend. The USD/CHF is trading at around 0.9080s, hitting a new weekly low of 0.9074.

Despite robust US Nonfarm Payrolls, USD/CHF slumped to a new weekly low

The US Department of Labor revealed the latest Nonfarm Payrolls report, which crushed forecasts as hiring in September rose by 336K, crushed the 170K, and exceeded the upward revised figures for August to 227 K. Digging a little deep into the data, Average Hourly Earnings aimed down from 4.3% to 4.2% below estimates, and the Unemployment Rate stood at 3.8%, unchanged from August.

Even though the data released lifted the USD/CHF toward a daily high of 0.9175, the major has reversed that leg-up and tumbled, as the Greenback rally was overextended. The US Dollar Index (DXY) , which measures the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, drops 0.34%, below the 106.00 mark.

Meanwhile, market participants had increased the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) odds for 25 bps for the December meeting, standing at 42.04% according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

For the next week, USD/CHF traders would take some clues from Federal Reserve officials, the Fed's last meeting minutes, and inflation data.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the USD/CHF daily chart portrays the pair forming a ‘double-top’, confirmed by price action falling below the last cycle low of 0.9091. That said, the chart pattern price objective would be 0.8960, but on its way south, the major must reclaim the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 0.9025, followed by the 0.9000 mark.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5994
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.47
Today daily open0.5966
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5932
Daily SMA500.5967
Daily SMA1000.6067
Daily SMA2000.6171
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5969
Previous Daily Low0.5906
Previous Weekly High0.605
Previous Weekly Low0.5899
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5945
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.593
Daily Pivot Point S10.5925
Daily Pivot Point S20.5884
Daily Pivot Point S30.5862
Daily Pivot Point R10.5988
Daily Pivot Point R20.601
Daily Pivot Point R30.6051

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold: Sellers test $4,350 on renewed USD upside

Gold kicks off the new week on a weaker note following Friday's failure near the $4,400 mark. The commodity currently trades near the $4,350 level as traders await further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin extends gains as ETF inflows return and momentum improves

Dogecoin extends its recovery, trading above $0.088 after gaining nearly 6% last week. The bullish price outlook is supported by the return of institutional demand through DOGE spot Exchange Traded Funds. Meanwhile, improving momentum indicators and signs of whale accumulation suggest a positive outlook for the dog-themed meme coin.

Economics week ahead

This week is light on the domestic data front, with focus on Thursday's new home sales report. We expect sales to partially recover in August, rising 2.6% to a 623K pace after a sharp decline in July. Higher mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand, though builder incentives remained in place and conditions did not worsen materially during the month.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.