|

USD/CHF plunges below 0.9100 on US Dollar pullback post hot US NFP data

  • USD/CHF spirals to a weekly low of 0.9074, even as US hiring surges to a robust 336K.
  • Greenback’s rally falters, with the DXY index retracting 0.34%, slipping back beneath the pivotal 106.00.
  • Market eyes on Fed officials, upcoming meeting minutes, and crucial inflation data to discern future USD/CHF dynamics.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) extended its gains versus the US Dollar (USD) as the pair dropped past the 0.9100 figure, which briefly halted the downward pullback, but selling pressure outpaced buyers struggling to cap the downtrend. The USD/CHF is trading at around 0.9080s, hitting a new weekly low of 0.9074.

Despite robust US Nonfarm Payrolls, USD/CHF slumped to a new weekly low

The US Department of Labor revealed the latest Nonfarm Payrolls report, which crushed forecasts as hiring in September rose by 336K, crushed the 170K, and exceeded the upward revised figures for August to 227 K. Digging a little deep into the data, Average Hourly Earnings aimed down from 4.3% to 4.2% below estimates, and the Unemployment Rate stood at 3.8%, unchanged from August.

Even though the data released lifted the USD/CHF toward a daily high of 0.9175, the major has reversed that leg-up and tumbled, as the Greenback rally was overextended. The US Dollar Index (DXY) , which measures the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, drops 0.34%, below the 106.00 mark.

Meanwhile, market participants had increased the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) odds for 25 bps for the December meeting, standing at 42.04% according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

For the next week, USD/CHF traders would take some clues from Federal Reserve officials, the Fed's last meeting minutes, and inflation data.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the USD/CHF daily chart portrays the pair forming a ‘double-top’, confirmed by price action falling below the last cycle low of 0.9091. That said, the chart pattern price objective would be 0.8960, but on its way south, the major must reclaim the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 0.9025, followed by the 0.9000 mark.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5994
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.47
Today daily open0.5966
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5932
Daily SMA500.5967
Daily SMA1000.6067
Daily SMA2000.6171
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5969
Previous Daily Low0.5906
Previous Weekly High0.605
Previous Weekly Low0.5899
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5945
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.593
Daily Pivot Point S10.5925
Daily Pivot Point S20.5884
Daily Pivot Point S30.5862
Daily Pivot Point R10.5988
Daily Pivot Point R20.601
Daily Pivot Point R30.6051

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off highs, back to around 1.1900

EUR/USD keeps its strong bid bias in place despite recedeing to the 1.1900 zone following earlier peaks north of 1.1900 the figure on Monday. The US Dollar remains under pressure, as traders stay on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday’s key January jobs report, leaving the pair room to extend its upward trend for now.

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold picks up pace, retargets $5,100

Gold gathers fresh steam, challenging daily highs en route to the $5,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Monday’s session. The precious metal finds support from fresh signs of continued buying by the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could lean more dovish also collaborate with the uptick.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure 

Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest. XRP seeks support above $1.40 after facing rejection at $1.54 during the previous week's sharp rebound.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.