|

USD/CHF loses momentum and the pair recedes towards 0.8845 after US data

  • USD/CHF inches lower to 0.8845 after gaining in the previous two sessions.
  • US Consumer Confidence Index improved and labor opening showed encouraging figures.
  • Market anticipations for a Fed rate cut in September remain high, challenging the USD.

In Tuesday's trading session, the USD/CHF pair declined by 0.20%, edging lower at around 0.8845. This decline came despite improving US consumer sentiment and strong job openings data, which led to a generally strong performance for the Greenback on Tuesday. Markets are now on high alert awaiting the outcome of the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting scheduled for Wednesday.

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose in July to 100.30, up from a downwardly revised 97.8 in June, showing a marginal improvement in US consumer sentiment. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) also reported in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that there were 8.184M job openings on the last business day of June slightly down from the revised 8.23 M in May, but still surpassing the market expectation of 8.03M. 

Looking ahead, while a Fed rate hold is widely anticipated on Wednesday due to the robust US economic performance, investors expect that the bank will leave the door open for a September cut. In line with that markets bet on 80% odds of a rate cut but incoming labor market data this week, will guide those expectations.

USD/CHF technical analysis

The technical outlook for USD/CHF has turned from neutral to bearish after getting rejected by the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during Tuesday's session. The pair continues trading below the 20, 100, and 200-day SMAs, which suggest ongoing selling pressure. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remain in the red, pointing to steady selling pressure.

The support levels remain at 0.8800, 0.8750, and 0.8730, while the resistance levels are at 0.8850, 0.8870, and 0.89000.

USD/CHF daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold pulls away from session high, holds above $4,300

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.