USD/CAD trades higher near 1.3710 on market caution, weak Oil prices

USD/CAD strengthens due to the Fed’s hawkish tone on interest rates trajectory.
Stronger US jobs data bolster the US yields; contributing support for the US Dollar.
Downbeat Crude oil prices put pressure on the Canadian Dollar.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

USD/CAD traces the upward path on the fourth successive day, trading higher near 1.3710 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The pair is experiencing upward support amid cautious sentiment due to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates trajectory.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 107.10 at the time of writing, aligned with the 11-month high marked on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) strength is driven by robust US employment data and higher US Treasury yields.

US JOLTS Job Openings exceeded expectations, contributing to an increase in US Treasury yields. The 10-year US Bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, hitting 4.85% on Wednesday.

The JOLTS report revealed that job openings improved to 9.61 million in August from the previous reading of 8.92 million, surpassing market expectations. Additionally, the hawkish tone surrounding the Fed to keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period is reinforcing positive sentiment for the Greenback.

Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester indicated a likelihood of favoring an interest rate hike at the next meeting if the current economic conditions persist. On the other hand, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic shared a patient perspective on the Fed's policy outlook, stating that there is no rush to raise or reduce rates.

Market participants are eagerly awaiting the US employment data, with the release of the ADP report on Wednesday and the Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday.

On the Canadian side, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was released on Monday. The report showed a decline to 47.5 in September from the previous reading of 48.0.

Additionally, downbeat Crude oil prices dragged the commodity-linked CAD lower as the country is the leading oil exporter to the US. West Texas Intermediary (WTI) Crude Oil trades lower around $88.00 per barrel by the press time.

Canada’s Ivey Purchasing Managers Index would likely be focused on by investors to gain further cues on business conditions in the country.

USD/CAD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.3712
Today Daily Change	0.0005
Today Daily Change %	0.04
Today daily open	1.3707

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3547
Daily SMA50	1.3494
Daily SMA100	1.3407
Daily SMA200	1.346

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3736
Previous Daily Low	1.3662
Previous Weekly High	1.3585
Previous Weekly Low	1.3417
Previous Monthly High	1.3694
Previous Monthly Low	1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3708
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.369
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3667
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3628
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3593
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3741
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3776
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3815

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.