|

USD/CAD struggles below 1.3800 amid rebounding Oil prices, stronger USD lends support

  • USD/CAD drifts lower for the third straight day, albeit lacks follow-through.
  • An uptick in Oil prices underpins the Loonie and exerts pressure on the pair.
  • A goodish pickup in the USD demand to lend some support and limit losses.

The USD/CAD pair sticks to its modest intraday losses during the early European session on Wednesday and currently trades around the 1.3775-1.3770 region. Spot prices, however, manage to hold above a two-week low touched on Tuesday, warranting some caution before positioning for an extension of this week's sharp retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-1.3900s, or a nearly two-year high. 

Crude Oil prices gain some positive traction and for now, seem to have snapped a four-day losing streak to the lowest level since early February. This, in turn, is seen underpinning the commodity-linked Loonie and exerting some downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair for the third straight day. That said, concerns about an economic downturn in the US and China – the world's two largest economies – act as a headwind for the black liquid.

Apart from this, a goodish pickup in the US Dollar (USD) demand, bolstered by an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields, turns out to be another factor lending some support to the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, a generally positive tone around the equity markets, along with dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and support prospects for some meaningful downside for spot prices. 

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets in the absence of any relevant market-moving US economic data on Wednesday. Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the monthly Canadian employment details, due for release on Friday. In the meantime, the USD/Oil price dynamics should produce short-term trading opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.12%-0.12%1.66%-0.07%-0.38%-0.90%0.54%
EUR-0.12% -0.25%1.55%-0.20%-0.55%-1.03%0.44%
GBP0.12%0.25% 1.79%0.04%-0.31%-0.74%0.66%
JPY-1.66%-1.55%-1.79% -1.72%-2.06%-2.51%-1.12%
CAD0.07%0.20%-0.04%1.72% -0.32%-0.79%0.63%
AUD0.38%0.55%0.31%2.06%0.32% -0.42%0.97%
NZD0.90%1.03%0.74%2.51%0.79%0.42% 1.41%
CHF-0.54%-0.44%-0.66%1.12%-0.63%-0.97%-1.41% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.