|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests lower boundary of the ascending channel below 1.3600

  • USD/CAD tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which suggests a potential weakening of the bullish bias.
  • The pair’s price remains above both the nine-day and 14-day EMAs, indicating that bullish momentum is still in play.
  • The 1.3590 level, where "throwback support turns into pullback resistance," serves as the immediate barrier.

USD/CAD trades around 1.3590 during Wednesday’s European hours. Analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential weakening of the bullish bias for the USD/CAD pair, as it is testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is slightly below the 50 level. Further movement in the RSI will provide a clearer indication of the directional trend for the USD/CAD pair.

However, the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned slightly above the 14-day EMA, indicating that the short-term trend is stronger than the longer-term trend. The price of the USD/CAD pair remains above both the nine-day and 14-day EMAs, suggesting that bullish momentum is still in play.

On the downside, a break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel would weaken the bullish bias and lead the USD/CAD pair to test the nine-day EMA at the 1.3578 level, which aligns closely with the 14-day EMA at 1.3575. A breach below these EMAs could trigger a bearish trend, potentially pressuring the pair to move toward the six-month low of 1.3441, recorded on August 28.

Regarding the upside, the immediate barrier is at the "throwback support turns into a pullback resistance" level of 1.3590, followed by the psychological level of 1.3600. Additional resistance may emerge at the upper boundary of the ascending channel, around the 1.3700 level.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.14%-0.34%-0.45%-0.06%-0.32%-0.54%-0.40%
EUR0.14% -0.21%-0.33%0.08%-0.17%-0.42%-0.26%
GBP0.34%0.21% -0.09%0.29%0.04%-0.21%-0.03%
JPY0.45%0.33%0.09% 0.39%0.13%-0.07%0.08%
CAD0.06%-0.08%-0.29%-0.39% -0.27%-0.48%-0.32%
AUD0.32%0.17%-0.04%-0.13%0.27% -0.21%-0.06%
NZD0.54%0.42%0.21%0.07%0.48%0.21% 0.15%
CHF0.40%0.26%0.03%-0.08%0.32%0.06%-0.15% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold extends rebound to $4,500 as US yields edge lower

Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its recovery momentum following Wednesday's slide and tests the $4,500 mark in the second half of the day on Thursday. While US-Iran uncertainty remains, easing tensions between Lebanon on Israel seems to be helping the market mood improve, causing the USD to lose strength alongside falling US T-bond yields and opening the door for a decisive rebound in XAU/USD.

Bitcoin’s massive storm is back: Why the sell-off is far from over

Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.