|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: DXY breaks weekly support with eyes on 103.40

  • US Dollar Index takes offers to refresh intraday low, breaks one-week-old ascending trend line.
  • Bearish MACD signals allow sellers to aim for the previous weekly low, also the lowest level in six months.
  • 100-SMA, weekly top add to the upside filters even if buyers manage to cross support-turned-resistance line.

US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats towards the weekly low, marked the previous day, taking offers to refresh the intraday low near 103.83 during early Thursday in Europe.

In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies breaks a one-week-old ascending support line, now resistance near 103.92, while approaching the six-month low marked in the last week.

It’s worth noting that the bearish MACD signals and a U-turn from 104.93 during early weekdays also favor the DXY sellers to approach the multi-day low surrounding 103.40.

During the fall, the weekly bottom near 103.80 and horizontal support around 103.60 could test the US Dollar Index bears.

Additionally, the DXY’s sustained weakness past 103.40 will highlight the 103.00 round figure ahead of directing bears toward the May 2022 low near 101.30.

On the contrary, the previous support line around 103.92 precedes the 104.00 round figure to restrict short-term US Dollar Index rebound.

Following that, the 100-SMA and the weekly top could challenge the DXY bulls around 104.75 and 104.95 in that order.

Also acting as an upside filter is the 105.00 round figure, a break of which could welcome DXY bulls targeting the monthly high of 105.82.

US Dollar Index: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price103.85
Today Daily Change-0.41
Today Daily Change %-0.39%
Today daily open104.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.76
Daily SMA50106.79
Daily SMA100108.88
Daily SMA200106.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.38
Previous Daily Low103.86
Previous Weekly High105.25
Previous Weekly Low103.44
Previous Monthly High113.15
Previous Monthly Low105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.06
Daily Pivot Point S1103.95
Daily Pivot Point S2103.64
Daily Pivot Point S3103.42
Daily Pivot Point R1104.47
Daily Pivot Point R2104.69
Daily Pivot Point R3105

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.