|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: DXY breaks weekly support with eyes on 103.40

  • US Dollar Index takes offers to refresh intraday low, breaks one-week-old ascending trend line.
  • Bearish MACD signals allow sellers to aim for the previous weekly low, also the lowest level in six months.
  • 100-SMA, weekly top add to the upside filters even if buyers manage to cross support-turned-resistance line.

US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats towards the weekly low, marked the previous day, taking offers to refresh the intraday low near 103.83 during early Thursday in Europe.

In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies breaks a one-week-old ascending support line, now resistance near 103.92, while approaching the six-month low marked in the last week.

It’s worth noting that the bearish MACD signals and a U-turn from 104.93 during early weekdays also favor the DXY sellers to approach the multi-day low surrounding 103.40.

During the fall, the weekly bottom near 103.80 and horizontal support around 103.60 could test the US Dollar Index bears.

Additionally, the DXY’s sustained weakness past 103.40 will highlight the 103.00 round figure ahead of directing bears toward the May 2022 low near 101.30.

On the contrary, the previous support line around 103.92 precedes the 104.00 round figure to restrict short-term US Dollar Index rebound.

Following that, the 100-SMA and the weekly top could challenge the DXY bulls around 104.75 and 104.95 in that order.

Also acting as an upside filter is the 105.00 round figure, a break of which could welcome DXY bulls targeting the monthly high of 105.82.

US Dollar Index: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price103.85
Today Daily Change-0.41
Today Daily Change %-0.39%
Today daily open104.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.76
Daily SMA50106.79
Daily SMA100108.88
Daily SMA200106.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.38
Previous Daily Low103.86
Previous Weekly High105.25
Previous Weekly Low103.44
Previous Monthly High113.15
Previous Monthly Low105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.06
Daily Pivot Point S1103.95
Daily Pivot Point S2103.64
Daily Pivot Point S3103.42
Daily Pivot Point R1104.47
Daily Pivot Point R2104.69
Daily Pivot Point R3105

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD recovers

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and declines toward 1.1700 on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.