|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: DXY breaks weekly support with eyes on 103.40

  • US Dollar Index takes offers to refresh intraday low, breaks one-week-old ascending trend line.
  • Bearish MACD signals allow sellers to aim for the previous weekly low, also the lowest level in six months.
  • 100-SMA, weekly top add to the upside filters even if buyers manage to cross support-turned-resistance line.

US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats towards the weekly low, marked the previous day, taking offers to refresh the intraday low near 103.83 during early Thursday in Europe.

In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies breaks a one-week-old ascending support line, now resistance near 103.92, while approaching the six-month low marked in the last week.

It’s worth noting that the bearish MACD signals and a U-turn from 104.93 during early weekdays also favor the DXY sellers to approach the multi-day low surrounding 103.40.

During the fall, the weekly bottom near 103.80 and horizontal support around 103.60 could test the US Dollar Index bears.

Additionally, the DXY’s sustained weakness past 103.40 will highlight the 103.00 round figure ahead of directing bears toward the May 2022 low near 101.30.

On the contrary, the previous support line around 103.92 precedes the 104.00 round figure to restrict short-term US Dollar Index rebound.

Following that, the 100-SMA and the weekly top could challenge the DXY bulls around 104.75 and 104.95 in that order.

Also acting as an upside filter is the 105.00 round figure, a break of which could welcome DXY bulls targeting the monthly high of 105.82.

US Dollar Index: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price103.85
Today Daily Change-0.41
Today Daily Change %-0.39%
Today daily open104.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.76
Daily SMA50106.79
Daily SMA100108.88
Daily SMA200106.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.38
Previous Daily Low103.86
Previous Weekly High105.25
Previous Weekly Low103.44
Previous Monthly High113.15
Previous Monthly Low105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.06
Daily Pivot Point S1103.95
Daily Pivot Point S2103.64
Daily Pivot Point S3103.42
Daily Pivot Point R1104.47
Daily Pivot Point R2104.69
Daily Pivot Point R3105

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

160.80: Japanese Yen remains close to nearly two-year lows

USD/JPY inches lower after four days of gains, trading around 160.60 during the Asian hours. The USD/JPY pair surged to 160.80 the previous day, marking its highest level since July 2024 and significantly heightening speculation that Japanese authorities could soon intervene to support the struggling Yen.

Australian Dollar remains in positive territory after paring recent gains

AUD/USD pares its daily gains, remaining in the positive territory and trading around 0.7010 during the European hours. The pair appreciated as the Australian Dollar received support from prevailing hawkish sentiment surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy outlook.

Gold drops to daily lows near $4,200

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday, trading closer to the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal adds to Wednesday’s pullback and slips back to multi-day lows in response to the stronger US Dollar following the Fed’s hawkish hold on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP pare losses on increasing bets of Fed tighter monetary policy

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly moderating downwards on Thursday, as market participants assess the impact of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy stance.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.