Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains below $30.00 due to improved market sentiment

Silver prices edged lower amid a risk-on market sentiment, driven by optimism as Trump's incoming team considered gradual tariff hikes.
The non-yielding Silver depreciates as the recent US labor market data reinforced the Fed’s hawkish policy stance in January.
The industrial demand for Silver could increase following China's recent stimulus measures.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

Silver price (XAG/USD) retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around $29.80 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The price of the safe-haven Silver faces challenges due to risk-on market sentiment following reports about US President-elect Donald Trump's economic team considering a gradual increase in import tariffs boosted investor confidence.

Bloomberg reported on Monday that Trump's incoming administration is evaluating a phased approach to implementing tariffs, aiming to prevent a sharp rise in inflation while managing trade policy adjustments.

The non-yielding Silver faces challenges as the recent US labor market figures for December, which is expected to support the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to maintain interest rates at current levels in January.

Moreover, reinforced hawkish sentiment surrounding the Fed has sparked a rise in US Treasury yields. Rising yields boosted the US Dollar to recent highs, making Silver more expensive for buyers using foreign currencies and dampening Silver demand.

However, the Greenback corrects downwards following the disappointing US December Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Market participants will keep an eye on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which is due later on Wednesday.

The demand for Silver could increase following China's recent stimulus measures. As the world's largest consumer of metals, any improvement in China's economic conditions could significantly boost the industrial use of Silver.

People's Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng stated on Monday that "interest rate and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) tools will be utilized to maintain ample liquidity." Gongsheng reaffirmed China's plans to increase the fiscal deficit and emphasized that China will continue to be a driving force for the global economy.

Silver FAQs

Why do people invest in Silver?

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Which factors influence Silver prices?

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

How does industrial demand affect Silver prices?

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves?

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

British Pound eases to 1.3450 area following downwardly revised Manufacturing PMI data

The British Pound is trimming previous gains against the US Dollar on Monday, returning to the mid-range of the 1.3400s down from fresh seven-week highs, above 1.3500 earlier on the day. Weaker-than-expected UK manufacturing data added pressure on the Pound, which rallied at the Asian session opening, amid news of a halt to the hostilities in Iran.

EUR/USD challenges 1.1500 on Dollar’s recovery

EUR/USD now accelerates its downtrend and comes closer to the 1.1500 level on Monday. The pair’s correction follows the decent improvement in the US Dollar amid solid data US releases and easing concerns on the geopolitical front.

Gold holds steady above $4,050 as traders seem hesitant amid Mideast risks

Gold trades with a positive bias above $4,050 during the Asian session on Tuesday, as the US Dollar stalls the overnight bounce from its lowest level since June 17 amid receding Fed rate-hike bets and hopes for a US-Iran peace deal. However, reports of Iran strikes on a vessel near the Strait of Hormuz keep the geopolitical risk premium in play, limiting losses for the safe-haven buck and keeping the bullion confined within a familiar range below $4,100.

Ethereum: BitMine extends share buyback spree, scoops over 10K ETH

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) continued its share buyback spree last week after repurchasing 4.5 million shares of its common stock. This purchase brings the total stock buyback since July 1 to 16.1 million shares, part of a previously authorized $4 billion repurchase plan.

Palantir shares spike on Q2 beat

Palantir Technologies stock jumped 9% afterhours on Monday after reporting a solid beat for the fiscal second-quarter. The artificial intelligence and big data company earned $0.41 in adjusted earnings per share on revenue of $1.94 billion. The EPS figure bested the Wall Street consensus by 6 cents, and the revenue print was $130 million above the average analyst estimate.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.