Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovers above $28.50 despite multiple tailwinds


  • Silver price bounces back to $28.50 even though investors expect Middle East tensions won’t escalate further.
  • US bond yields rally amid uncertainty over Fed rate cut timing.
  • Upbeat US Retail Sales boost demand for the US Dollar.

Silver price (XAG/USD) finds strong buying interest near $27.50 after correcting from fresh highs of $29.80. The white metal rebounds to $28.50 in Monday’s American session but struggles to extend recovery as investors expect that Middle East tensions will not escalate further.

Iran said we don’t want to raise tensions in the Middle East further. Their administration added, “the matter deemed to be closed.” However, should the Israeli regime make another mistake, Iran’s response will be considerably more severe, the Wall Street Journal reported. Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden said it won’t support the counterattack from Israel. On Saturday, Iran launched hundreds of drones and missile on the Israeli state.

Meanwhile, higher bond yields due to deepening uncertainty about when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pivot to rate cuts is barricading the Silver price from further upside. 10-year US Treasury yields rise to 4.65%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its upside to 106.20 after upbeat US Retail Sales data for March. The US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales rose strongly by 0.7% from expectations of 0.3% but the pace was slower than the prior reading of 0.9%, upwardly revised from 0.6%.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price recaptures a three-year high near $30.00. The long-term outlook of the Silver price is extremely bullish as the 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $25.00, is sloping higher. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifts into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, suggesting that a bullish momentum is active.

Silver weekly chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 28.25
Today Daily Change 0.37
Today Daily Change % 1.33
Today daily open 27.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 26.1
Daily SMA50 24.34
Daily SMA100 23.95
Daily SMA200 23.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 29.8
Previous Daily Low 27.88
Previous Weekly High 29.8
Previous Weekly Low 26.88
Previous Monthly High 25.77
Previous Monthly Low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 28.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 29.07
Daily Pivot Point S1 27.24
Daily Pivot Point S2 26.6
Daily Pivot Point S3 25.32
Daily Pivot Point R1 29.16
Daily Pivot Point R2 30.44
Daily Pivot Point R3 31.08

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD holds steadily as traders anticipate Australian Retail Sales, Fed’s decision

AUD/USD holds steadily as traders anticipate Australian Retail Sales, Fed’s decision

The Aussie Dollar registered solid gains against the US Dollar on Monday, edged up by 0.55% on an improvement in risk appetite, while the Greenback was crushed by Japanese authorities' intervention. As Tuesday’s Asian session begins, the AUD/USD trades at 0.6564.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD finds support near 1.0720 after slow grind on Monday

EUR/USD finds support near 1.0720 after slow grind on Monday

EUR/USD jostled on Monday, settling near 1.0720 after churning in a tight but lopsided range as markets settled in for the wait US Fed outing. Investors broadly expect US rates to hold steady this week, but traders will look for an uptick in Fed guidance for when rate cuts could be coming.

EUR/USD News

Gold prices soften as traders gear up for Fed monetary policy decision

Gold prices soften as traders gear up for Fed monetary policy decision

Gold price snaps two days of gains, yet it remains within familiar levels, with traders bracing for the US Fed's monetary policy decision on May 1. The XAU/USD retreats below the daily open and trades at $2,334, down 0.11%, courtesy of an improvement in risk appetite. 

Gold News

Will Bitcoin ignore major macro market developments this week?

Will Bitcoin ignore major macro market developments this week?

Bitcoin price will be an interesting watch this week, with increased volatility expected amid crucial events lined up in the macro market. On Tuesday, Hong Kong will be debuting its BTC and ETH ETFs while the next day will see FOMC minutes make headlines. 

Read more

Gearing up for a busy week: It typically doesn’t get any bigger than this

Gearing up for a busy week: It typically doesn’t get any bigger than this

Attention this week is fixated on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday. While the US central bank is widely expected to remain on hold, traders will be eager to discern any signals from the Fed regarding the possibility of future interest-rate cuts.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures