Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD faces resistance near $23.50 as focus shifts to Jackson Hole


  • Silver price finds selling pressure near $23.50 as investors turn cautious ahead of Jackson Hole.
  • US equities found buying interest despite Moody’s and S&P Global downgraded the credit ratings of US commercial banks.
  • Fed Barkin said that the central bank needs to achieve the 2% inflation target to ensure its credibility.

Silver price (XAG/USD) faces fragile barricades around $23.50 after a sharp recovery in the early New York session. The white metal struggles to extend recovery as the US Dollar rebounds after remaining lackluster. The US Dollar attracts some bets amid caution ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, which will start on Thursday.

S&P500 is expected to open on a positive note, following positive cues from overnight futures. US equities find interest despite Moody’s and S&P Global downgrading the credit ratings of US commercial banks, citing risks of rising outflows in a high-interest rate environment. The 10-year US Treasury yields oscillate above 4.3%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovers sharply and is looking to test the immediate resistance of 103.50 as Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole is likely to deliver a hawkish commentary. Fed Powell is expected to keep interest rates higher for a longer period as United States inflationary pressures are still far from the desired rate of 2%.

Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that the Fed needs to achieve the 2% inflation target to ensure its credibility, per Reuters. Fed Barkin expects that the US recession will be a ‘less severe’ one.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price finds an intermediate resistance after a solid recovery to near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from July 20 high at $25.27 to August 15 low at $22.23) at $23.40. The asset shifts auction above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $23.20.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) climbs into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates more upside ahead.

Silver hourly chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.28
Today Daily Change -0.03
Today Daily Change % -0.13
Today daily open 23.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.42
Daily SMA50 23.52
Daily SMA100 24.01
Daily SMA200 23.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.32
Previous Daily Low 22.67
Previous Weekly High 23.01
Previous Weekly Low 22.23
Previous Monthly High 25.27
Previous Monthly Low 22.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 22.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.88
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.45
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.23
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.53
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.75
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.18

 

 

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