Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD corrects to $25 amid uncertainty ahead of US PPI, Retail Sales data


  • Silver price drops to $24.90 as investors turn anxious ahead of US data.
  • The Core PPI data is forecasted to have softened on both a monthly and an annual basis.
  • Market expectations for Fed rate cuts in June have increased to 69%.

Silver price (XAG/USD) falls to $24.90 in Thursday’s European session after reaching a three-month high at $25.16. The white metal drops amid anxiety ahead of the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales data for February, which will provide fresh cues about the inflation outlook.

The annual core PPI data, which strips off volatile food and energy prices, is forecasted to have softened to 1.9% from 2.0% in January. The monthly underlying inflation data is projected to have grown at a slower pace of 0.2% against the prior reading of 0.5%. Slower growth in prices of goods and services by producers at factory gates would soften the inflation outlook.

Meanwhile, monthly Retail Sales are expected to have grown by 0.8%, the same pace at which they contracted in January. In the same period, economists expect that Retail Sales excluding automobiles have grown by 0.6% against a decline of 0.5%. Upbeat Retail sales data indicate an increase in households’ spending, which fuels inflationary pressures.

The Silver price witnessed significant buying interest on Wednesday as market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates in the June meeting have improved again despite stubborn inflation data for February. The CME Fedwatch tool shows that the chances of the Fed reducing interest rates have increased to 69%, which is close to pre-inflation data expectations.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price approaches a 10-month high of $25.90, which is the high of December 4. Near-term demand for the white metal is strong, as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $23.80 is sloping north.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, indicating a strong upside momentum.

Silver daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 24.98
Today Daily Change -0.03
Today Daily Change % -0.12
Today daily open 25.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.41
Daily SMA50 23.01
Daily SMA100 23.33
Daily SMA200 23.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 25.03
Previous Daily Low 24.08
Previous Weekly High 24.64
Previous Weekly Low 23.02
Previous Monthly High 23.5
Previous Monthly Low 21.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 24.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 24.44
Daily Pivot Point S1 24.38
Daily Pivot Point S2 23.75
Daily Pivot Point S3 23.43
Daily Pivot Point R1 25.34
Daily Pivot Point R2 25.66
Daily Pivot Point R3 26.29

 

 

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