|

Silver Price Analysis: Forms Triangle or Bull Pennant within a Measured Move

  • Silver is forming a Symmetrical Triangle, or Bull Pennant continuation pattern with bullish implications for price. 
  • It is also probably rising up in the final wave C of a Measured Move price pattern, also with bullish expectations. 
  • MACD is poised to rise higher after crossing the zero-line.

Silver (XAG/USD) has formed a price pattern after its recent rally, which saw it break out of its falling channel. 

The price pattern could either be a Symmetrical Triangle (ST) pattern, or perhaps a Bull Pennant continuation pattern; the first has slightly bullish connotations, the second has stronger bullish implications. 

Silver Daily Chart

More broadly Silver is also probably in the process of rising up in the final wave C of a three-wave Measured Move (MM), with a final price target substantially higher than the current market level.

STs do not give a hint of the direction of the breakout but it is usually in the direction of the prior trend. Bull Pennants, however, are bullish and strongly suggest higher prices to come. 

MMs are like large zig-zags composed of three waves, sometimes labeled A,B and C.  

As Silver price is currently rising up in wave C it is likely to go higher, either till it reaches the end of wave C or, more conservatively $32.75 ( calculated as the 0.618 extrapolation of wave A). If it reaches the end of C it could rally to $35.00. 

A break above the top of the ST/Pennant at $31.49 would provide confirmation of the next leg higher. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator has crossed above the zero line and looks poised to continue higher, with bullish implications for price. 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.