|

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: 38.2% Fibonacci holds the key to 200-week SMA

  • NZD/USD trades near the highest in five months after breaking a falling trend line since late-March.
  • 50% of Fibonacci retracement will act as an intermediate halt during the extended rise.

NZD/USD takes the bids to 0.6710 during the early trading session on Monday. The kiwi pair confronts 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of July 2017 top to October 2019 downpour. It should, however, be noted that the quote sustains its break of multi-month-old trend line resistance (now support).

With this, prices are likely to extend their seven-week-old upward trajectory towards the 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) level of 0.6912. However, July 2019 high near 0.6792 and 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6880 can question buyers during the run-up.

If at all the Bulls manage to dominate beyond 0.6912, the 0.7000 psychological magnet and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 0.7040 could be on their watch-list.

Meanwhile, a downside break below the resistance-turned-support, at 0.6600, will fetch the quote to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, at 0.6525.

Additionally, pair’s further weakness under 0.6525 will have its way down to September month top close to 0.6450.

NZD/USD weekly chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6708
Today Daily Change9 pips
Today Daily Change %0.13%
Today daily open0.6699
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6589
Daily SMA500.6471
Daily SMA1000.6409
Daily SMA2000.6524
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6712
Previous Daily Low0.6666
Previous Weekly High0.6712
Previous Weekly Low0.6597
Previous Monthly High0.6466
Previous Monthly Low0.6321
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6694
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6684
Daily Pivot Point S10.6673
Daily Pivot Point S20.6646
Daily Pivot Point S30.6627
Daily Pivot Point R10.6719
Daily Pivot Point R20.6738
Daily Pivot Point R30.6765

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800 barrier above 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 47 (neutral) reflects easing momentum. The RSI below 50 keeps momentum balanced and could limit follow-through.

GBP/USD struggles near four-week low vs. USD, below 1.3500 amid BoE rate cut bets

The GBP/USD pair is seen consolidating its weekly losses registered over the past three days and oscillating in a narrow range near a four-week trough, touched during the Asians session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.3500 psychological mark and seem vulnerable to slide further.

Gold consolidates below $5,000 amid geopolitical risk, hawkish FOMC Minutes

Gold extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Thursday and remains below the $5,000 psychological mark as traders seem hesitant amid mixed cues. The US Dollar preserves its strong gains to over a one-week high in the wake of somewhat hawkish Minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s January monetary policy meeting. 

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments. The technical outlook suggests further gains if INJ breaks above key resistance.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.