NZD/USD refreshes day’s high around 0.6300 as DXY remains subdued, US NFP in focus

  • NZD/USD has printed an intraday high at 0.6300 as DXY has turned sideways ahead of US NFP.
  • Investors have ignored the weak NZ labor market data.
  • Escalating US-China tensions could impact the antipodean significantly.

The NZD/USD pair is advancing sharply higher as investors have shrugged-off vulnerable employment data. The asset is likely to display a ‘Double Distribution’ trading session as a decent rally has been witnessed after an upside break of morning inventory distribution and further distribution is highly expected. The major has climbed to the round-level resistance of 0.6300.

On Wednesday, Stats NZ reported that the Unemployment Rate increased to 3.3% from the estimates of 3.1% and the prior release of 3.2% in the second quarter. Also, the Employment Change for the second quarter has landed at 0%, significantly lower than the estimates of 0.4% and the prior print of 0.1%.

The ineffectiveness of the kiwi economy in generating job opportunities has created immense trouble for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Price pressures are soaring in the NZ economy and the RBNZ was expecting decent performance from the labor market to get strengthened for hiking the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unhesitatingly. Now, crippled RBNZ would resort to a less-hawkish stance on the policy rates.

Soaring US-China tensions could fetch the risk-off impulse as death threats to US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is not a weak concern. This may bring sanctions to China by the US and a slowdown in China could also impact the antipodean, being a trading partner to China.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a restricted territory as investors are awaiting the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). A preliminary estimate for the employment generation is 250k, lower than the prior release of 372k. Also, the jobless rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.6%.


Today last price 0.6291
Today Daily Change 0.0033
Today Daily Change % 0.53
Today daily open 0.6258
Daily SMA20 0.6215
Daily SMA50 0.6296
Daily SMA100 0.6482
Daily SMA200 0.6651
Previous Daily High 0.6282
Previous Daily Low 0.6212
Previous Weekly High 0.633
Previous Weekly Low 0.6192
Previous Monthly High 0.633
Previous Monthly Low 0.6061
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6239
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6255
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6219
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6181
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6149
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6289
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6321
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6359



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