|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Justifies Friday’s bearish Doji below 0.6350

  • NZD/USD prints mild losses around a two-week high, justifies the previous day’s bearish candlestick formation.
  • Previous support line from October, bearish MACD signals also keeps sellers hopeful.
  • 200-day EMA holds the key to Kiwi bear’s conviction.

NZD/USD holds lower ground near the intraday bottom of 0.6329 during the mid-Asian session on a sluggish Monday. The Kiwi pair’s latest inaction could be linked to the holidays in multiple markets, including New Zealand.

Even so, the quote prints mild losses while justifying the previous day’s bearish Doji candlestick. Also favoring the NZD/USD bears are the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s sustained trading below the previous support line from October 13, now resistance around 0.6400.

As a result, the Kiwi pair is likely to extend the latest weakness toward the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support surrounding 0.6235.

During the fall, the 0.6300 round figure may act as an intermediate halt whereas the late November swing low around 0.6155 could challenge the NZD/USD bears afterward.

On the contrary, the Kiwi pair’s successful trading above 0.6400 support-turned-resistance could propel the quote toward the previous monthly high near 0.6515.

It’s worth noting that the NZD/USD pair’s sustained run-up beyond 0.6515 enables the bulls to aim for a June 2022 high of 0.6575.

Overall, NZD/USD is likely to extend the latest pullback but the downside room appears limited.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.634
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open0.6348
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6346
Daily SMA500.616
Daily SMA1000.604
Daily SMA2000.6241
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6373
Previous Daily Low0.631
Previous Weekly High0.6373
Previous Weekly Low0.6253
Previous Monthly High0.6514
Previous Monthly Low0.623
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6334
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6349
Daily Pivot Point S10.6315
Daily Pivot Point S20.6281
Daily Pivot Point S30.6252
Daily Pivot Point R10.6377
Daily Pivot Point R20.6406
Daily Pivot Point R30.644

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak below 1.3600 as USD bulls await Warsh's speech

GBP/USD is consolidating near the lower end of its weekly range, below the 1.3600 mark, during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair's downside, however, remains cushioned as traders await Fed Chair Warsh's speech on Friday for more cues about the US central bank's interest rate path before placing fresh directional bets.

EUR/USD holds range around 1.1650 as USD steadies

EUR/USD keeps its range around 1.1650 in the European session on Thursday. Hawkish ECB expectations support the pair as the US Dollar consolidates after the US PCE data-driven advance. The focus remains on Middle East developments and US Jobless Claims data.

Gold holds steady around $4,600 as traders eye Fed's Warsh for rate cues

Gold languishes near the $4,600 mark through the first half of the European session on Thursday and remains close to the weekly low it touched the previous day. The downside, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday for cues on the future policy path. The outlook, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple eases to $1.40, Solana hits $100, DOGE capped below $0.10
Ripple (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are facing downside pressure after double-digit gains last week, while Solana (SOL) extends its rally to $100. The technical outlook for XRP, SOL, and DOGE points to potential upside as the broader market sustains a risk-on sentiment.
Jackson Hole kicks off after upside PCE surprise
In China, industrial profits rose 17.6% y/y to CNY 4.58tn in the first seven months of 2026, slowing from an 18.7% increase in January-June. The moderation follows several months of strong profit growth around 20% y/y, supported by higher producer prices and solid manufacturing activity.
Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.