|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Justifies Friday’s bearish Doji below 0.6350

  • NZD/USD prints mild losses around a two-week high, justifies the previous day’s bearish candlestick formation.
  • Previous support line from October, bearish MACD signals also keeps sellers hopeful.
  • 200-day EMA holds the key to Kiwi bear’s conviction.

NZD/USD holds lower ground near the intraday bottom of 0.6329 during the mid-Asian session on a sluggish Monday. The Kiwi pair’s latest inaction could be linked to the holidays in multiple markets, including New Zealand.

Even so, the quote prints mild losses while justifying the previous day’s bearish Doji candlestick. Also favoring the NZD/USD bears are the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s sustained trading below the previous support line from October 13, now resistance around 0.6400.

As a result, the Kiwi pair is likely to extend the latest weakness toward the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support surrounding 0.6235.

During the fall, the 0.6300 round figure may act as an intermediate halt whereas the late November swing low around 0.6155 could challenge the NZD/USD bears afterward.

On the contrary, the Kiwi pair’s successful trading above 0.6400 support-turned-resistance could propel the quote toward the previous monthly high near 0.6515.

It’s worth noting that the NZD/USD pair’s sustained run-up beyond 0.6515 enables the bulls to aim for a June 2022 high of 0.6575.

Overall, NZD/USD is likely to extend the latest pullback but the downside room appears limited.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.634
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open0.6348
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6346
Daily SMA500.616
Daily SMA1000.604
Daily SMA2000.6241
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6373
Previous Daily Low0.631
Previous Weekly High0.6373
Previous Weekly Low0.6253
Previous Monthly High0.6514
Previous Monthly Low0.623
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6334
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6349
Daily Pivot Point S10.6315
Daily Pivot Point S20.6281
Daily Pivot Point S30.6252
Daily Pivot Point R10.6377
Daily Pivot Point R20.6406
Daily Pivot Point R30.644

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).