Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles to extend rally above $1,870, upside seems favored


  • Gold price is facing barricades around $1,870.00, upside looks solid amid the volatile US Dollar Index.
  • S&P500 futures have added more gains in Friday’s rally, portraying an upbeat market mood.
  • Gold price is getting much attention amid rising expectations of a recession in the United States.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is hovering in a narrow range around the immediate hurdle of $1,870 in the Asian session. The precious metal is looking to extend its upside journey amid the higher risk appetite of the market participants.

S&P500 futures have added more gains in Friday’s rally, portraying an upbeat market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has sensed barricades around 103.50 and will find an intermediate cushion around 103.00. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 3.56% amid a decline in the safe-haven’s appeal.

Gold price is getting much attention amid rising expectations of a recession in the United States. After a consecutive drop in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, the Services PMI has also slipped, too, indicating that the overall demand in the United States economy has weakened. The Services PMI plunged significantly to 49.6 vs. the projection of 55.0. Also, New Orders Index that displays forward demand dropped massively to 45.2 vs. the expectations of 58.5. A slowdown in economic activities and its forward projections are impacting the US Dollar.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has delivered an upside break of the horizontal resistance plotted from the January 4 high at $1,865.15 on an hourly scale, which will act as significant support ahead. The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have delivered a bull cross around $1,840.58, which adds to the upside filters.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum has been triggered.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1868.6
Today Daily Change 1.61
Today Daily Change % 0.09
Today daily open 1866.99
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1812.3
Daily SMA50 1768.68
Daily SMA100 1726.95
Daily SMA200 1778.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1869.91
Previous Daily Low 1830.62
Previous Weekly High 1869.91
Previous Weekly Low 1823.76
Previous Monthly High 1833.38
Previous Monthly Low 1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1854.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1845.63
Daily Pivot Point S1 1841.77
Daily Pivot Point S2 1816.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 1802.48
Daily Pivot Point R1 1881.06
Daily Pivot Point R2 1895.13
Daily Pivot Point R3 1920.35

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement

EUR/USD: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement

EUR/USD attracts some sellers on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction. A break below 200-period SMA on H4 should pave the way for deeper losses. Any attempted move up is likely to confront a stiff barrier near the 1.1250 region.

GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength

GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength

GBP/USD attracts some sellers as the US-China trade deal eases US recession fears and boosts the USD. The US-UK trade agreement and the BoE’s cautious tone support the GBP and limit losses for the major. Traders now look forward to speeches from BoE officials and FOMC members for some meaningful impetus.

Gold price struggles near one-week low; US-China joint statement awaited

Gold price struggles near one-week low; US-China joint statement awaited

Gold price kicks off the new week on a weaker note in reaction to the optimism over the US-China trade deal. Easing US recession fears and the Fed’s hawkish pause underpin the USD, and further weigh on the commodity. The XAU/USD bears await details on the US-China agreement before positioning for any meaningful downside.

Bitcoin awaits catalyst to push BTC above $109,000, US-UK and China deals fails to trigger rally

Bitcoin awaits catalyst to push BTC above $109,000, US-UK and China deals fails to trigger rally

The United States unveiled its first major trade deal with the UK last week. The announcement was followed by talks of a highly anticipated deal with China. Both developments failed to catalyze a re-test of the all-time high in Bitcoin. 

Why the UK-US trade deal won’t herald a wider tariff climbdown

Why the UK-US trade deal won’t herald a wider tariff climbdown

For Britain, the UK-US deal secures lower tariffs without compromising forthcoming UK-EU talks. And for the US, it signals to investors that the administration is prepared to be flexible on tariffs. But we're sceptical that the deal will translate into a much wider de-escalation in US tariff policy.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025