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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD soars to $1977 post-Fed Powell’s dovish comments, tumbled the USD

  • XAU/USD trades at $1971.15, marking a 1.24% gain.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments at the Economic Club of New York led to expectations of no further rate hikes by the Fed.
  • Powell states that policy is restrictive and emphasizes the need for careful policy setting.

Gold price (XAU/USD) extended its gains to three straight days and approached the next cycle high of $1977 a troy ounce after remarks from the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell weighed on the Greenback, as investors expect no further rate increases by the Fed. The XAU/USD is trading at $1971.15, gaining 1.24%.

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends gains for three consecutive days, approaching the next cycle high of $1982.15 per troy ounce

During Powell’s appearance at the Economic Club of New York, Wall Street seesawed, but at the time of writing, trade with losses. Fed Chair Jerome Powell commented that policy is restrictive and that the Fed would proceed “carefully” in setting its policy. He emphasized that above-trend growth and a tight labor market “could warrant further tightening of monetary policy.”

Consequently, US Treasury bond yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, wavered at around a ten-basis point spread, though it had settled at around 4.973%, but failed to underpin the Greenback, which prints losses of 0.47%, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), at 106.05.

On the data side, the US calendar featured the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index for September, portraying a gloomy economic outlook for the region. At the same time, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that last week’s Initial Jobless Claims slowed to 198K, below forecasts and previous figures, at 212K and 211K, respectively.

Ahead of the week, the docker would feature Fed speakers before entering their blackout period as they brace for the upcoming monetary policy meeting.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After clearing the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1930.70, Gold could test the latest cycle high of $1987.42, before rallying to $2000. Once those two areas are cleared, up next would be the all-time high (ATH) at $2081.82. On the flip side, if sellers moved in and dragged prices below the psychological $1950, that would open the door to test key support levels like the 200-DMA at 1930.68, the 100-DMA at 1922.13, and the 50-DMA at $1902.54.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1974.57
Today Daily Change27.14
Today Daily Change %1.39
Today daily open1947.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA201878.17
Daily SMA501901.67
Daily SMA1001922.53
Daily SMA2001930.06
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1962.73
Previous Daily Low1922.9
Previous Weekly High1933.34
Previous Weekly Low1832.62
Previous Monthly High1953.01
Previous Monthly Low1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1947.51
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1938.12
Daily Pivot Point S11925.98
Daily Pivot Point S21904.52
Daily Pivot Point S31886.15
Daily Pivot Point R11965.81
Daily Pivot Point R21984.18
Daily Pivot Point R32005.64

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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