Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD soars above $2,010 as Fed policymakers see quick US Inflation softening

Gold price has climbed above $2,010.00 firmly as Fed policymakers are anticipating a quick deceleration in the US CPI.
Fed minutes will be in focus as they will provide a detailed explanation behind the 25 bps rate hike in March.
Gold price is marching towards the $2,032.00 resistance after sensing a stellar buying interest.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) has shown a quick move above the critical resistance of $2,010.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal has jumped above $2,013.00 amid further weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has dropped to near 102.05 and is expected to rampant its downside journey. The downside bias for the USD Index is inspired by expectations of quick deceleration in the United States inflation as anticipated by Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker cited “I am keeping an eye on the data to see if more action on inflation is required.” Also, Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari sees inflation at the middle 3% by end of this year, closer to 2% next year.

Apart from them, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee advocated a cautious approach as the combination of tight credit conditions and further restrictive monetary policy can hit sectors and regions differently than if monetary policy was acting on its own.

Wednesday’s US inflation data will be keenly watched as it carries significant value, being the last inflation data before the interest rate decision by the Fed scheduled in first week of May.

Also, Fed minutes will be in focus as they will provide a detailed explanation of hiking rates by 25 basis points (bps) in March.

The demand for US government bonds seems subdued ahead of US inflation data. The return offered on 10-year US Treasury bonds is juggling around 3.43%.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is marching towards the horizontal resistance plotted from April 05 high at $2,032.00 after sensing a stellar buying interest near the breakout region of the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,004.14 is providing cushion to the Gold bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is on the verge of breaking into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which will activate the upside momentum.

Gold two-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	2014.76
Today Daily Change	10.93
Today Daily Change %	0.55
Today daily open	2003.83

Trends
Daily SMA20	1973.27
Daily SMA50	1901.75
Daily SMA100	1867.33
Daily SMA200	1789.62

Levels
Previous Daily High	2007.52
Previous Daily Low	1988.88
Previous Weekly High	2032.11
Previous Weekly Low	1949.83
Previous Monthly High	2009.88
Previous Monthly Low	1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	2000.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1996
Daily Pivot Point S1	1992.63
Daily Pivot Point S2	1981.44
Daily Pivot Point S3	1973.99
Daily Pivot Point R1	2011.27
Daily Pivot Point R2	2018.72
Daily Pivot Point R3	2029.91

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD trims losses, hovers around 1.1350

EUR/USD now regains some composure and rebounds to the 1.1350 zone on Wednesday, partially reversing the prior pullback to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. Meanwhile, spot remains on the back foot as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold puts $4,000 to the test, new yearly lows

Gold accelerates its decline and gyrates around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2025. In the meantime, tighter-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the yellow metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.