|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rebounds above $1,910 as yields extend losses

  • Gold price has displayed a recovery move and has surpassed $1,910.00 amid weaker yields.
  • The absence of demand in the S&P500 futures is restricting risk-perceived currencies in achieving solid upside bias.
  • The US Dollar Index has failed to sustain above the critical resistance of 102.00

Gold price (XAU/USD) has rebounded firmly and has surpassed the immediate resistance of $1,910.00 in the early European session. The precious metal is gaining strength amid falling returns on US government bonds. The 10-year US Treasury yields has dropped firmly below 3.33% amid falling inflation projections.

Meanwhile, the risk profile is still negative as S&P500 futures are failing to find a cushion. The absence of demand in the S&P500 futures is restricting risk-perceived currencies in achieving solid upside bias. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shifted its auction profile comfortably below the 102.00 resistance.

US yields are facing severe pressure as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have started considering an interest rate hike by 25 basis points (bps) for February’s monetary policy meeting. Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker reiterated on Wednesday that he's ready for the US central bank to move to 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike context amid some signs that hot inflation is cooling off. Also, the CME FedWatch tool displays more than 96% chances of hiking interest rates by bps to 4.50-4.75%.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has rebounded firmly after testing the horizontal support plotted from January 12 high at $1,901.66 on an hourly scale. The downward-sloping trendline from January 16 high at $1,929.02 will continue to act as a major barricade for the Gold price.

The 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,905.05 is acting as a major support for Gold price. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has sensed support around 40.00, which indicates that the downside is restricted.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1909.56
Today Daily Change6.09
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open1903.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA201851.62
Daily SMA501805.76
Daily SMA1001739.63
Daily SMA2001776.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1925.95
Previous Daily Low1896.63
Previous Weekly High1921.96
Previous Weekly Low1865.22
Previous Monthly High1833.38
Previous Monthly Low1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1907.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1914.75
Daily Pivot Point S11891.42
Daily Pivot Point S21879.36
Daily Pivot Point S31862.1
Daily Pivot Point R11920.74
Daily Pivot Point R21938
Daily Pivot Point R31950.06

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.