Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD marches towards $1,680 amid lower consensus for US ISM data


  • Gold price is advancing towards $1,680.00 as US ISM Manufacturing data carries subdued expectations.
  • A decline in US ISM New Orders Index data indicates sluggish demand ahead.
  • Subdued forward demand could be the outcome of lower households’ purchasing power.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has given an upside break of the minor consolidation in early Asia, formed in a $1,660.20-1,663.32. The precious metal is marching towards the critical hurdle of $1,680.00 as the market participants expect a decline in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which will be released on Monday.

As per the preliminary estimates, the US ISM Manufacturing data will release at 52.3 vs. the former release of 52.8. Accelerating interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to bring price stability to the economy has forced corporations to withdraw their expansion and investment plans. This is resulting in a decline in manufacturing activities in the US economy.

What is more haunting for the US dollar index (DXY) is a significant decline in the consensus for ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index data. The economic data is seen at 49.6 vs. the prior release of 51.3. The economic indicator determines future demand by firms to cater to retail demand. A decline in New Orders Index data indicates sluggish demand ahead, which could be the result of a vigorous decline in the purchasing power of households due to mounting price pressures.

Gold technical analysis

Gold prices have entered the prior balanced area, which ranges from $1,653.30-1,688.43 on an hourly scale. The balanced area indicates the highest auction region where most of the trading activity occurred.

A bull cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,635.03 adds to the upside filters.

While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) will display a bullish momentum if it oversteps 60.00 decisively.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1663.74
Today Daily Change 3.22
Today Daily Change % 0.19
Today daily open 1660.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1679.23
Daily SMA50 1724.96
Daily SMA100 1765.61
Daily SMA200 1824.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1675.49
Previous Daily Low 1659.31
Previous Weekly High 1675.49
Previous Weekly Low 1614.85
Previous Monthly High 1735.17
Previous Monthly Low 1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1665.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1669.31
Daily Pivot Point S1 1654.72
Daily Pivot Point S2 1648.93
Daily Pivot Point S3 1638.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 1670.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 1681.29
Daily Pivot Point R3 1687.08

 

 

 

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price is trading below $2,400 in European trading on Friday, holding its retreat from a fresh five-day high of $2,418. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row, supported by lingering Middle East geopolitical risks.

Gold News

Bitcoin Price Outlook: All eyes on BTC as CNN calls halving the ‘World Cup for Bitcoin’

Bitcoin Price Outlook: All eyes on BTC as CNN calls halving the ‘World Cup for Bitcoin’

Bitcoin price remains the focus of traders and investors ahead of the halving, which is an important event expected to kick off the next bull market. Amid conflicting forecasts from analysts, an international media site has lauded the halving and what it means for the industry.   

Read more

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Nearly a week to the day when Iran sent drones and missiles into Israel, Israel has retaliated and sent a missile into Iran. The initial reports caused a large uptick in the oil price.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures