Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD looks to surpass $1,940 amid weaker yields, US GDP eyed


  • Gold price attempts to surpass $1,940.00 as US yields drop further.
  • The USD Index remains weak this year as attention is turning towards policy tightening in other advanced economies.
  • Gold price is auctioning in a Rising Wedge, portraying a volatility contraction.

Gold price (XAU/USD) aims to overstep the immediate resistance of $1,940.00 in the Tokyo session. The precious metal is gaining strength amid rising demand for the US government bonds that have weakened yields further. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 3.45%.

A sell-off in the S&P500 futures indicates that the market participants' risk-taking capacity is fading away. Missed estimates by tech-giant Microsoft in its December earnings and technical glitch in NYSE are impacting United States equities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) displays a sideways profile around 101.50 as investors await US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for fresh impetus.

Gold price might find strength if US GDP contracts dramatically, which might further bolster the expectations for a smaller interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its February meeting. As per the estimates, the annual Q4CY2022 GDP will contract to 2.8% from the former release of 3.2%. For the USD Index outlook, economists at CIBC Capital Markets look for the mighty US Dollar to weaken in 2023 as the Fed is set to undershoot market expectations for the peak fed funds rate, and attention is turning to policy tightening in other advanced economies.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is auctioning in a Rising Wedge chart pattern on an hourly scale that indicates volatility contraction, which will result in wider ticks and heavy volume after an explosion. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,935.33 is a cushion for the Gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in a 40.00-60.00 range, demonstrating a lackluster performance by the Gold price ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1938.11
Today Daily Change 0.16
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 1937.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1878.11
Daily SMA50 1818.87
Daily SMA100 1748.69
Daily SMA200 1775.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1942.57
Previous Daily Low 1917.19
Previous Weekly High 1937.57
Previous Weekly Low 1896.63
Previous Monthly High 1833.38
Previous Monthly Low 1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1932.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1926.89
Daily Pivot Point S1 1922.57
Daily Pivot Point S2 1907.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 1897.19
Daily Pivot Point R1 1947.95
Daily Pivot Point R2 1957.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 1973.33

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive near 1.0700 amid USD strength, EU political jitters

EUR/USD stays defensive near 1.0700 amid USD strength, EU political jitters

EUR/USD is trading close to 1.0700, struggling to build on the previous bounce early Monday. European political uncertainty continues to undermine the Euro and cap the pair's upside. The US Dollar tracks the Treasury bond yields higher amid a cautious mood, weighing on the pair. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD remains pressured toward 1.2650 on firmer US Dollar

GBP/USD remains pressured toward 1.2650 on firmer US Dollar

GBP/USD is dropping toward 1.2650 in the European trading hours on Monday. The hawkish Fed expectations and a softer risk tone favor the US Dollar, exerting downward pressure on the pair. Fedspeak remains next in focus. 

GBP/USD News

Gold sellers regain control, eye a sustained move below $2,300

Gold sellers regain control, eye a sustained move below $2,300

Gold price is reversing a part of Friday’s upswing, having faced rejection once again above the $2,330 level early Monday. Gold price fails to benefit from a pause in the US Dollar upsurge, as the US Treasury bond yields recover after last week’s downward spiral.  

Gold News

Bitcoin retesting its major resistance level

Bitcoin retesting its major resistance level

Bitcoin price is retesting its weekly resistance level of $67,147. Ethereum price finds support around $3,321, the price imbalance between $3,146 and $3,498. Ripple price faces rejection due to the key resistance level of $0.499.

Read more

Weekend digest and a quiet start to the week

Weekend digest and a quiet start to the week

It will be a quiet start to the week on the data front. From Sweden, we get the Riksbank's Business Survey. Overnight, the RBA is widely expected to leave monetary policy unchanged. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures