|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes 200-DMA amid acceptance above 21-DMA

  • Gold price books third straight weekly gain, 200-DMA remains in sight.
  • Daily closing above 21-DMA reignites bullish interest, as RSI recovers to 50.00.
  • Gold Price Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD bulls bet on Golden Cross pattern, uptrend support, lower yields.

Thursday’s Doji candlestick doesn’t seem to have discouraged the bulls, as gold price staged an impressive bounce on Friday, although remained within the recent trading range.

Gold price rallied as high as $1812 before reversing into the weekly closing, settling the week at $1808.

Gold bulls managed to defend the critical short-term 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at $1796 and a daily closing yielded above the same, opens doors for the further upside next week.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also steadily advanced to the central line, suggesting that the tide may have turned in favor of the bulls.

Therefore, gold buyers keep their sight on the horizontal 200-DMA, aligned at $1828.

Ahead of that, the past week’s high at $1818 could probe the bullish commitments.

Gold Price Chart: Daily

On the flip side, 21-DMA could limit any retracements from higher levels, below which the horizontal 100-DMA support at $1790 is likely to be tested.

A sustained break below the latter could revive the downtrend towards the two-month troughs of $1751.

Gold: Additional levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1808.43
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1808.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA201792.31
Daily SMA501835.72
Daily SMA1001790.5
Daily SMA2001827.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1812.45
Previous Daily Low1796.71
Previous Weekly High1818.41
Previous Weekly Low1784.58
Previous Monthly High1916.62
Previous Monthly Low1750.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1806.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1802.72
Daily Pivot Point S11799.28
Daily Pivot Point S21790.12
Daily Pivot Point S31783.54
Daily Pivot Point R11815.02
Daily Pivot Point R21821.6
Daily Pivot Point R31830.76

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).