Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD accelerates to near $1,930 despite upbeat hawkish Fed bets


  • Gold price has jumped to $1,930.00 amid mixed views about Fed’s interest rate guidance.
  • Investors would keep an eye on the FOMC minutes and the US Employment data.
  • Gold price has rebounded from near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $1,909.55.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has climbed to near $1,930.00 in the European session. The precious metal has delivered a stellar rally despite investors are anticipating a small interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its July monetary policy.

S&P500 futures are holding nominal losses in London amid caution among investors ahead of second-quarter result season. The risk profile is quiet as investors are expected to deliver irrational moves once United States companies would start disclosing quarterly performance.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing choppy moves around 103.00 amid mixed views about July’s interest rate decision. Fed chair Jerome Powell has already cleared that two small interest rate hikes are appropriate by year-end. While Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic stated last week that the central bank has reached a point where interest rates are sufficiently restrictive to bring down inflation to 2%.

Going forward, investors would keep an eye on Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. The minutes will provide a detailed explanation behind a steady interest rate policy announcement. Apart from that, cues about further interest rates and economic prospects will be keenly watched.

In addition to FOMC minutes, investors would await Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment data. As per the estimates, the US economy added 180K fresh payrolls in June lower than the addition of 278K made in May.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has rebounded from near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from February 28 low at $1,804.76 to May 03 high at $2,079.76) at $1,909.55 on a daily scale. The 20-period daily Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,933.54 is still acting as a barricade for the Gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has jumped into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside momentum has faded. Investors should note that the downside bias is still solid

Gold daily chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1929.82
Today Daily Change 8.16
Today Daily Change % 0.42
Today daily open 1921.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1936.91
Daily SMA50 1967.75
Daily SMA100 1945.08
Daily SMA200 1860.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1931.09
Previous Daily Low 1910.11
Previous Weekly High 1933.39
Previous Weekly Low 1893.01
Previous Monthly High 1983.5
Previous Monthly Low 1893.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1923.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1918.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 1910.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 1899.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 1889.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 1931.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 1941.93
Daily Pivot Point R3 1952.78

 

 

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