Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD accelerates to near $1,930 despite upbeat hawkish Fed bets


  • Gold price has jumped to $1,930.00 amid mixed views about Fed’s interest rate guidance.
  • Investors would keep an eye on the FOMC minutes and the US Employment data.
  • Gold price has rebounded from near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $1,909.55.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has climbed to near $1,930.00 in the European session. The precious metal has delivered a stellar rally despite investors are anticipating a small interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its July monetary policy.

S&P500 futures are holding nominal losses in London amid caution among investors ahead of second-quarter result season. The risk profile is quiet as investors are expected to deliver irrational moves once United States companies would start disclosing quarterly performance.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing choppy moves around 103.00 amid mixed views about July’s interest rate decision. Fed chair Jerome Powell has already cleared that two small interest rate hikes are appropriate by year-end. While Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic stated last week that the central bank has reached a point where interest rates are sufficiently restrictive to bring down inflation to 2%.

Going forward, investors would keep an eye on Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. The minutes will provide a detailed explanation behind a steady interest rate policy announcement. Apart from that, cues about further interest rates and economic prospects will be keenly watched.

In addition to FOMC minutes, investors would await Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment data. As per the estimates, the US economy added 180K fresh payrolls in June lower than the addition of 278K made in May.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has rebounded from near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from February 28 low at $1,804.76 to May 03 high at $2,079.76) at $1,909.55 on a daily scale. The 20-period daily Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,933.54 is still acting as a barricade for the Gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has jumped into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside momentum has faded. Investors should note that the downside bias is still solid

Gold daily chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1929.82
Today Daily Change 8.16
Today Daily Change % 0.42
Today daily open 1921.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1936.91
Daily SMA50 1967.75
Daily SMA100 1945.08
Daily SMA200 1860.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1931.09
Previous Daily Low 1910.11
Previous Weekly High 1933.39
Previous Weekly Low 1893.01
Previous Monthly High 1983.5
Previous Monthly Low 1893.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1923.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1918.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 1910.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 1899.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 1889.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 1931.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 1941.93
Daily Pivot Point R3 1952.78

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD regains the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA

AUD/USD regains the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA

AUD/USD advanced strongly for the second session in a row, this time extending the recovery to the upper 0.6500s and shifting its focus to the weekly highs in the 0.6580-0.6585 band, an area coincident with the 100-day SMA.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD keeps the bullish performance above 1.0700

EUR/USD keeps the bullish performance above 1.0700

The continuation of the sell-off in the Greenback in the wake of the FOMC gathering helped EUR/USD extend its bounce off Wednesday’s lows near 1.0650, advancing past the 1.0700 hurdle ahead of the crucial release of US NFP on Friday.

EUR/USD News

Gold stuck around $2,300 as market players lack directional conviction

Gold stuck around $2,300 as market players lack directional conviction

Gold extended its daily slide and dropped below $2,290 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased its daily losses after US data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower ahead of Friday's US jobs data.

Gold News

Bitcoin price rises 5% as BlackRock anticipates a new wave of capital inflows into BTC ETFs from investors

Bitcoin price rises 5% as BlackRock anticipates a new wave of capital inflows into BTC ETFs from investors

Bitcoin (BTC) price slid to the depths of $56,552 on Wednesday as the cryptocurrency market tried to front run the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The flash crash saw millions in positions get liquidated.

Read more

FOMC in the rear-view mirror – NFP eyed

FOMC in the rear-view mirror – NFP eyed

The update from May’s FOMC rate announcement proved more dovish than expected, which naturally weighed on the US dollar (sending the DXY to lows of 105.44) and US yields, as well as, initially at least, underpinning major US equity indices.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures