|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes $1939 upside barrier amid US stimulus hopes – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) buyers are finally extending their control above $1900, rejoicing the renewed optimism over the US fiscal stimulus. The safe-haven US dollar wilts amid a risk-on market mood after US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin moved closer to an agreement on a fresh coronavirus relief package late Tuesday.

Markets remain hopeful that the stimulus deal will be clinched ahead of the November election and the new funds will boost the demand for gold as an inflation hedge. The stimulus talks are likely to continue this Wednesday. Let’s take a look at how gold is positioned on the charts.

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the yellow metal has recaptured critical resistances and now looks to take on the next minor cap at $1925, which is the confluence of the pivot point one-day R2 and SMA50 one-day.

Further north, the bulls will test a soft upside barrier at $1929 (pivot point one-week R1), opening doors for a test of the critical resistance at $1939, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month.

To the downside, $1915 is strong support, which the convergence of the previous day high and Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

A break below the last support, the SMA50 on four-hour at $1909 could offer some reprieve to the bulls.

Acceptance below the latter could challenge the bears’ commitment at $1905, the meeting point of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, SMA5 one-day and previous low on four-hour.  

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD struggles above 1.1500 despite USD weakness

EUR/USD struggles with its recovery above 1.1500 in European trading on Monday, despite broad US Dollar weakness and improved risk sentiment. The USD loses traction following US President Trump's call off an attack on Iran and that talks between the two sides would happen on Monday. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran negotiations and US ISM PMI data.

Gold's struggle with 21-day SMA extends ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold keeps its range around $4,050 early Monday, consolidating the previous decline. The US Dollar holds losses, fuelled by the USD/JPY slump and Mideast diplomacy hopes. Gold awaits a clear directional breakthrough, but sellers likely have the upper hand on the 1D chart.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Solana risks a steeper decline below $70 despite steady ETF inflows

Solana (SOL) is trading in the red, losing bullish momentum and remaining capped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $75.68. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds show resilience with a monthly inflow of $14.62 million in July, while the near-term retail support wanes with the funding rate turning negative.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.
Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes $1939 upside barrier amid US stimulus hopes – Confluence Detector