|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD consolidates recent gains above $1,900

  • Gold bulls catch a breather around three-week high near $1,930 flashed on Friday.
  • Fresh challenges to US stimulus, Brexit and the coronavirus news probe the metal’s latest upside.
  • Off in the US, light calendar in Asia restrict market reaction.

Gold takes rounds to $1,928/29, following the day-start weakness to $1,926.40, during the pre-Tokyo open Asian trading on Monday. The yellow metal rose to the highest since September 21 on Friday as the broad US dollar weakness, coupled with the risk-on mood, favored the buyers. However, the recent headlines concerning the American stimulus, Brexit and the coronavirus (COVID-19) question the bullion’s further upside. Even so, a lack of major catalysts and a long weekend at the US limit the downside momentum.

No takers for US Republican offer of $1.8 trillion stimulus…

On Friday, US President Donald Trump’s fresh bid for the coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus, worth the $1.8 trillion, propelled global risk markets. The same dimmed the US dollar’s safe-haven demand and dragged the US dollar index (DXY) to the lowest in three weeks. The move helped commodities and Antipodeans the most.

However, the weekend headlines poured cold water on the face of optimists trying to extend gold’s latest run-up. Among them, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s rejection of Trump’s offer and the COVID-19 fears from Europe has been the major negatives. Also in the line could be the Brexit updates suggesting no deal in sight despite reaching near to the October 15 deadline. It should be noted that the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) announcement of fresh measures to curb the yuan strength also couldn’t keep the gold bulls on the throne.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures struggle for a clear direction near $3,470/75, near five-week high, whereas the other risk barometers like AUD/USD and AUD/JPY are also struggling for a clear direction by the time of the press.

Looking forward, gold buyers may find it difficult to extend the recent rally amid an absence of the US players and a light calendar. However, the yellow metal isn’t likely to fade its allure considering the current scenario.

Technical analysis

Having cleared a descending trend line from August 07, gold bulls need a clear break above the 50-day SMA, currently around $1,940. On the contrary, the metal’s fresh selling pressured below the immediate support line, previous resistance, near $1,911, can recall $1,900 on the chart.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1930.3
Today Daily Change0.05
Today Daily Change %0.00%
Today daily open1930.25
 
Trends
Daily SMA201907.07
Daily SMA501939.5
Daily SMA1001862.34
Daily SMA2001744.38
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1930.62
Previous Daily Low1893.72
Previous Weekly High1930.62
Previous Weekly Low1873.01
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1916.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1907.82
Daily Pivot Point S11905.77
Daily Pivot Point S21881.3
Daily Pivot Point S31868.87
Daily Pivot Point R11942.67
Daily Pivot Point R21955.1
Daily Pivot Point R31979.57

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advaces beyond 1.3450 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD gains positive momentum on Thursday, surpassing 1.3450 and trading at fresh multi-week highs. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helped the pair advance, while renewed US Dollar weakness across the FX board pushed the pair further up ahead of the monthly close.

EUR/USD confortable around 1.1530, highest in six weeks

The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.1530 in the American session on Thursday, reaching fresh six-week highs. The US Dollar is in sell-off mode, with multiple factors weighing on the American currency. Not only did the Federal Reserve vote divided to keep rates on hold on Wednesday, creating doubts about a September hike, but US Q2 GDP missed expectations. A suspected JPY intervention adds pressure on the Greenback.

Gold recovers the $4,100 level as US Dollar weakens further

Gold trades just above $4,100 amid a US Dollar sell-off. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5%, missing the market's expectations of 2.1%.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP builds recovery momentum as whales increase exposure
Ripple (XRP) rises toward the pivotal $1.10 resistance on Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This neutral-to-slightly bullish outlook follows the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
The FOMC: Rates left on hold; dollar falls as Warsh fails to vote for hike
The Fed kept interest rates on hold today, defying a 30% chance in the Fed Funds Futures market that rates would rise. The Committee voted 9-3 to keep rates on hold, with governors Kashkari, Hammack and Logan all voting to hike rates due to concerns about inflation. The immediate market reaction has been a sharp drop in the USD on a broad basis.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.