GBP/USD senses hurdles below 1.1980 as hawkish Fed members strengthen risk-off mood


  • GBP/USD has dropped after the conclusion of the short-lived pullback to near 1.1976 amid a risk-off mood.
  • Hawkish commentary from Fed policymakers aims to bring US Treasury yields back to life.
  • The UK economy is expected to deliver negative GDP growth for four consecutive quarters.

The GBP/USD pair has witnessed selling pressure around 1.1976 in the Tokyo session. The short-lived recovery in the Cable from the cushion of 1.1940 has been terminated as hawkish commentaries from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have strengthened the risk aversion theme.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed its upside journey after a corrective move to near 106.60. S&P500 futures have rebounded marginally in the Asian session, but the road to reversal is still far. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have recovered to near 3.69%.

The alpha generated by US Treasury bonds has resurfaced as investors believe that the interest rate hike deceleration doesn’t resemble a pause in further policy tightening. The headline United Stated inflation is at 7.7%, far from the targeted rate of 2%, and required a heap of effort from the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

Richmond Fed Bank President Thomas Barkin said on Monday that he supports smaller interest-rate hikes ahead as the central bank moves to bring down too-high inflation, as reported by Reuters.

Also, Cleveland Fed Bank President Loretta Mester believes that the Federal Reserve is not near to a pause in a rate hike, as reported by Financial Times. She added that more good inflation reports and more signs of moderation are required before building an action plan of pausing rate hikes.

The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data will be keenly watched. The preliminary GDP for the third quarter is seen unchanged at 2.6%. As the Fed is dedicated to bringing price stability, a slowdown in the growth rate is highly recommended. A spell of improvement in the growth rates will continue to keep reign into inflation as solid GDP indicates robust demand from individuals, which doesn’t lead to a decline in price growth.

On the Pound Sterling front, Economists at Danske Bank have confirmed that the United Kingdom has entered a recession. They expect negative GDP growth for four consecutive quarters and growth not to return until the fourth quarter of CY2023.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1963
Today Daily Change 0.0015
Today Daily Change % 0.13
Today daily open 1.1948
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.173
Daily SMA50 1.1428
Daily SMA100 1.1645
Daily SMA200 1.2176
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2118
Previous Daily Low 1.1941
Previous Weekly High 1.2154
Previous Weekly Low 1.1779
Previous Monthly High 1.1646
Previous Monthly Low 1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2009
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.205
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1887
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1825
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1709
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2064
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.218
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2242

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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